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Rankings
#32 of 80 in Division 1
#7 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #36 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #440 Mansfield Senior (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 39 (96%)
08/28 H #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 23 (12%)
09/04 H #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 20 (87%)
09/11 A #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 17 (84%)
09/18 A #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 39 (99%)
09/25 A #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/02 H #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/09 A #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/16 A #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 H #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 21 (8%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
65% (bubble if 5-5), 35% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.85 ( 0.55-40.85) 66% in, 36% home, 11% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 17%
Lose: 5.80 ( 0.00-31.95) 29% in, 11% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 31.98 (24.35-40.85) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 4%) 9W: 26.70 (16.55-36.40) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
( 9%) 8W: 21.65 (12.80-31.80) 100% in, 98% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 52%
(15%) 7W: 17.25 ( 8.90-27.50) 99% in, 82% home, 14% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 14%
(20%) 6W: 13.35 ( 6.40-26.65) 95% in, 40% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(20%) 5W: 10.15 ( 4.35-19.25) 68% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 7.60 ( 2.50-16.60) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Hilliard Bradley (0-0) 9%
(11%) 3W: 5.35 ( 1.85-14.55) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Whitmer (0-0) 11%
( 5%) 2W: 3.05 ( 1.20- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.55- 5.60) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
Dublin Jerome (0-0) 6%
Westland (0-0) 6%
Perrysburg (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 14%
Springfield (0-0) 12%
Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 142.8, #84, D1 #32), 65% (bubble if 5-5), 35% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Last season 139.2