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Rankings
#44 of 101 in Division 4
#8 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #17 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #77 Indian Hill (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 30 (8%)
08/28 A #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 25 (90%)
09/03 A #425 Hughes (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 11 (73%)
09/11 H #86 Archbishop McNicholas (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 29 (4%)
09/18 A #262 Bishop Ready (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 9 (29%)
09/25 H #68 Harvest Prep (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/02 A #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/09 H Indianapolis Southport IN (0-0) D1
10/16 H #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/23 A #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
10.64 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#11 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
47% (bubble if 4-6), 24% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.91 ( 2.97-39.34) 87% in, 65% home, 33% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 38%
Lose: 10.18 ( 0.00-32.53) 44% in, 20% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 27.02 (18.39-34.95) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 93%
( 4%) 8W: 24.00 (15.36-31.22) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 73%
( 7%) 7W: 20.47 (12.59-27.34) 99% in, 91% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 33%
(13%) 6W: 17.04 ( 7.64-24.82) 97% in, 63% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 7%
(16%) 5W: 13.76 ( 6.74-21.03) 81% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(19%) 4W: 10.64 ( 4.47-16.79) 42% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(18%) 3W: 7.76 ( 3.57-13.92) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 13%
(13%) 2W: 4.99 ( 1.86- 9.69) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 7%) 1W: 2.57 ( 0.50- 5.90) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 5%
Meadowdale (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 18%
Taft (0-0) 13%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 83.7, #482, D4 #76), 21% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 106.1