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Rankings
#79 of 79 in Division 1
#21 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #79 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #77 in D1 (-718 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 38-14 A Corbin KY (4-2) D3
08/28 L 41-28 H #395 Roger Bacon (1-6) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (10%), perf. rating 74
09/04 W 66-48 A #618 Cincinnati Country Day (3-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 83
09/11 L 21-20 H #597 Miami Valley Christian (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 56
09/18 L 54-0 A #231 North College Hill (6-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 58
09/25 L 52-0 A #70 Withrow (4-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 84
10/02 L 38-6 H #448 Aiken (2-5) D2 R8, pick: L by 5 (37%), perf. rating 38
10/09 H #441 Taft (0-7) D4 R16, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 H #624 Woodward (Cincy) (1-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 A #297 Hughes (7-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.66 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.26 ( 2.07- 9.55) out, proj. out
Lose: 3.66 ( 1.57- 9.46) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 3W: 4.67 ( 3.14- 9.46) out, proj. out
(74%) 2W: 3.66 ( 2.07- 7.28) out, proj. out
(18%) 1W: 2.08 ( 1.57- 3.11) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWL: 4.67 ( 3.14- 6.50) out
(73%) LWL: 3.66 ( 2.64- 4.78) out
(18%) LLL: 2.08 ( 1.57- 3.11) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 64.8, #579, D1 #79), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 71.3, #547, D1 #79), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 68.9, #557, D1 #79), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 79.5, #495, D1 #78), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 86.9, #451, D1 #76), 24% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 79.4, #498, D1 #78), 21% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 76.5, #515, D1 #78), 19% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 76.5, #519, D1 #79), 33% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 79.4