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Rankings
#79 of 80 in Division 1
#21 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #80 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A Corbin KY (0-0) D3
08/28 H #312 Roger Bacon (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 25 (10%)
09/04 A #453 Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 13 (23%)
09/11 H #644 Miami Valley Christian (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 27 (95%)
09/18 A #538 North College Hill (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/25 A #102 Withrow (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/02 H #391 Aiken (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/09 H #50 Taft (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/16 H #648 Woodward (Cincy) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/23 A #425 Hughes (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.14 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
33% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.65 ( 0.55-35.10) 41% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Lose: 5.88 ( 0.00-27.03) 24% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 8W: 19.57 (12.97-26.47) 100% in, 77% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Hamilton (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 7W: 16.59 ( 9.79-22.83) 99% in, 49% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
(10%) 6W: 13.62 ( 8.05-20.48) 90% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
(16%) 5W: 10.80 ( 5.49-18.74) 63% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(21%) 4W: 8.14 ( 2.78-14.22) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(22%) 3W: 5.78 ( 1.81-11.29) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
(15%) 2W: 3.58 ( 0.90- 8.47) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 7%) 1W: 1.64 ( 0.35- 5.09) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 10%
St Xavier (0-0) 8%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 8%
Princeton (0-0) 7%
Winton Woods (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Lakota West (0-0) 11%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 11%
Winton Woods (0-0) 11%
St Xavier (0-0) 10%
Elder (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 76.5, #519, D1 #79), 33% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 79.4