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Rankings
#57 of 108 in Division 6
#19 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #45 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D6 (-198 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 41-30 A #481 Lakota (3-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 20 (18%), perf. rating 102
08/28 L 37-19 H #383 Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) D7 R26, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 68
09/04 L 41-26 H #225 McComb (6-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 28 (6%), perf. rating 95
09/11 W 36-34 A #511 Arcadia (3-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 12 (76%), perf. rating 83
09/18 W 39-14 H #565 Arlington (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 10 (73%), perf. rating 103
09/25 W 21-20 A #389 Van Buren (5-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 18 (13%), perf. rating 100
10/02 L 64-53 H #421 Ada (5-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 74
10/09 A #132 Leipsic (7-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/16 H #562 Toledo Christian (4-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/23 A #631 Riverdale (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
10.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
21% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Lose: 10.30 ( 7.00-12.40) 21% in, proj. out (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (7-0) 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
(86%) 6W: 10.60 ( 9.15-12.75) 24% in, proj. out (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (7-0) 33%
(13%) 5W: 8.50 ( 7.70-11.25) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(86%) LWW: 10.60 ( 9.15-12.40) 24% in, proj. out (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (7-0) 33%
( 3%) LWL: 9.90 ( 8.80-11.25) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out), Columbus Grove (6-1) 30%
(10%) LLW: 8.10 ( 7.70- 9.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 85.9, #457, D6 #57), 21% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 6 (4-2, 88.8, #433, D6 #50), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 84.0, #472, D6 #59), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 77.3, #512, D6 #68), 6% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 77.8, #513, D6 #67), 7% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 78.6, #504, D6 #67), 17% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 71.1, #553, D6 #74), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 58.9, #611, D6 #87), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 59.3