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Rankings
#83 of 107 in Division 7
#25 of 29 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #67 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D7 (-398 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 28-14 H #691 Hilltop (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 43
08/29 L 36-7 H #603 Elgin (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 20 (16%), perf. rating 15
09/05 L 30-7 A #526 Ridgemont (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (3%), perf. rating 44
09/12 L 56-7 A #281 Huron (2-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 51
09/19 H #574 Upper Scioto Valley (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/26 A #667 Hardin Northern (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/03 H #473 North Baltimore (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/10 A #694 Cory-Rawson (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/17 H #573 Waynesfield-Goshen (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/24 A #595 Perry (Lima) (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.95 ( 1.75-13.00) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 1.45 ( 0.35-10.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 5W: 6.10 ( 4.20- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(13%) 4W: 3.95 ( 2.80- 7.25) out, proj. out
(35%) 3W: 2.10 ( 1.40- 5.75) out, proj. out
(37%) 2W: 1.10 ( 0.70- 4.35) out, proj. out
(12%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 1.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) LWLWLW: 4.00 ( 3.25- 5.50) out
( 2%) WWLWLL: 3.90 ( 2.80- 5.40) out
( 4%) LWLWWL: 3.60 ( 2.80- 5.45) out
( 3%) LLLWLW: 2.95 ( 2.20- 4.35) out
(27%) LWLWLL: 1.80 ( 1.40- 3.95) out
( 4%) LWLLLL: 1.45 ( 1.05- 3.30) out
(32%) LLLWLL: 1.05 ( 0.70- 2.20) out
(12%) LLLLLL: 0.70 ( 0.35- 1.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 39.8, #665, D7 #83), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 36.8, #670, D7 #85), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 41.5, #659, D7 #80), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 46.8, #650, D7 #75), 10% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 43.9, #662, D7 #82), 10% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 43.6