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Rankings
#42 of 101 in Division 4
#7 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #57 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #273 Graham Local (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 A #446 Northridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 15 (77%)
09/04 H #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 10 (71%)
09/11 H #536 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 29 (96%)
09/18 A #442 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 14 (81%)
09/25 H #274 Bellefontaine (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/02 A #520 Tecumseh (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/09 H #349 Urbana (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/16 A #185 Jonathan Alder (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/23 H #51 London (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
50% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.80 ( 0.45-31.60) 77% in, 50% home, 16% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 21%
Lose: 8.35 ( 0.00-28.95) 33% in, 13% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 26.05 (20.20-31.60) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 92%
( 8%) 9W: 21.50 (14.25-30.65) 99% in, 98% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 48%
(13%) 8W: 17.90 (10.10-26.50) 99% in, 76% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(15%) 7W: 14.75 ( 8.15-22.85) 91% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 7%
(15%) 6W: 11.80 ( 5.55-19.75) 61% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 9.20 ( 3.70-16.55) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
(11%) 4W: 6.85 ( 2.85-13.00) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 13%
( 9%) 3W: 4.70 ( 1.85-10.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 2W: 2.75 ( 1.00- 8.45) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.45- 5.30) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Meadowdale (0-0) 5%
Taylor (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 19%
Taft (0-0) 14%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 13%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 100.2, #365, D4 #54), 37% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 108.8