Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#54 of 105 in Division 4
#13 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #13 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D4 (-302 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 35-28 A #209 Northeastern (4-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 7 (63%), perf. rating 113
08/29 W 47-43 H #257 Mechanicsburg (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 119
09/05 L 41-24 H #275 Benjamin Logan (2-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 5 (39%), perf. rating 85
09/13 L 67-47 A #222 Graham Local (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 8 (32%), perf. rating 91
09/19 H #367 North Union (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/26 H #45 London (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/03 A #191 Jonathan Alder (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/10 H #244 Kenton Ridge (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/17 A #220 Bellefontaine (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/24 H #542 Tecumseh (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
7.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
26% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (likely needs 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.90 ( 4.15-25.05) 37% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Wyoming (3-1) 19%
Lose: 5.35 ( 2.45-17.30) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Wyoming (3-1) 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 6W: 18.15 (15.55-20.90) 100% in, 82% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Cinc. Hills Christian (3-1) 16%
( 8%) 5W: 13.90 (11.00-18.35) 99% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Brookville (4-0) 17%
(21%) 4W: 10.65 ( 7.50-14.50) 59% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Wyoming (3-1) 23%
(38%) 3W: 7.60 ( 5.30-11.90) 7% in, proj. out (#10-out), Wyoming (3-1) 27%
(28%) 2W: 5.35 ( 3.65- 8.25) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 3.75 ( 2.45- 4.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLWWWW: 17.85 (15.55-20.15) 100% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Cinc. Hills Christian (3-1) 17%
( 4%) WLLWWW: 13.40 (11.00-16.20) 99% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Brookville (4-0) 19%
(11%) WLLWLW: 10.65 ( 8.25-13.55) 62% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Wyoming (3-1) 22%
( 6%) WLLLWW: 10.15 ( 7.50-12.60) 40% in, proj. out (#9-out), Wyoming (3-1) 29%
( 4%) LLLWLW: 8.40 ( 6.60-10.40) 14% in, proj. out (#10-out), Wyoming (3-1) 30%
(29%) WLLLLW: 7.50 ( 5.30- 9.90) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Wyoming (3-1) 28%
(26%) LLLLLW: 5.35 ( 3.65- 6.90) out
( 2%) LLLLLL: 3.75 ( 2.45- 4.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 103.7, #345, D4 #54), 26% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 107.3, #311, D4 #50), 47% (bubble if 4-6), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 108.5, #302, D4 #45), 55% (bubble if 4-6), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 105.3, #318, D4 #46), 36% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 111.2, #267, D4 #39), 48% (bubble if 6-4), 27% home (maybe if 8-2), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 108.2