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Rankings
#12 of 106 in Division 5
#2 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #17 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #6 in D5 (+420 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 34-24 H #204 Kenton Ridge (6-1) D4 R16, pick: W by 7 (63%), perf. rating 135
08/28 W 44-14 H #534 Milton-Union (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 117
09/04 W 27-0 A #331 Covington (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 147
09/11 L 42-34 A #151 Urbana (5-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 9 (30%), perf. rating 120
09/18 W 10-7 H #56 London (5-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 152
09/25 W 32-24 A #191 Benjamin Logan (3-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 138
10/02 W 51-6 A #632 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 115
10/09 H #520 Shawnee (Springfield) (2-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/16 A #234 Indian Lake (4-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 H #154 North Union (5-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 5 (63%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.35 (17.00-27.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(51%) 9W: 24.95 (23.55-27.00) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(37%) 8W: 21.85 (20.25-24.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(12%) 7W: 18.55 (17.00-21.60) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(51%) WWW: 24.95 (23.55-27.00) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(10%) WLW: 22.05 (20.50-23.65) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(26%) WWL: 21.40 (20.25-23.40) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(11%) WLL: 18.55 (17.00-20.10) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 131.6, #142, D5 #12), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 132.0, #137, D5 #9), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 128.3, #164, D5 #12), appears locked in and likely home, 89% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 123.5, #191, D5 #18), likely in, 87% home (maybe if 5-5), 48% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 3 (3-0, 122.6, #200, D5 #17), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 61% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 118.2, #233, D5 #23), 89% (bubble if 4-6), 68% home (maybe if 5-5), 39% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 113.8, #257, D5 #27), 87% (bubble if 4-6), 65% home (maybe if 5-5), 35% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 111.2, #273, D5 #31), 72% (bubble if 5-5), 55% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 117.9