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Rankings
#78 of 105 in Division 5
#21 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #65 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #535 Rossford (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 4 (56%)
08/28 A #465 Lake (Millbury) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 12 (27%)
09/04 A #467 St Paul (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 12 (25%)
09/11 A #224 Edison (Milan) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/18 H #583 Bowsher (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/25 H #394 Woodmore (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/02 H #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 A #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/16 H #546 Ottawa Hills (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/23 A #518 Lakota (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.99 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.87 ( 0.50-28.44) 20% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 8%
Lose: 2.82 ( 0.00-23.19) 3% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 21.93 (16.17-28.44) 100% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 57%
( 2%) 9W: 19.15 (12.94-26.17) 99% in, 77% home, 20% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 20%
( 4%) 8W: 16.53 (10.77-22.54) 90% in, 39% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Norwayne (0-0) 7%
( 6%) 7W: 13.96 ( 8.60-22.54) 59% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 6W: 11.28 ( 6.03-18.56) 24% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 9.07 ( 4.07-14.98) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Margaretta (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 6.95 ( 2.20-13.72) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(16%) 3W: 4.99 ( 1.80-10.03) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(16%) 2W: 3.12 ( 0.75- 8.68) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 1.51 ( 0.35- 4.69) out, proj. out
( 9%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Norwayne (0-0) 6%
Margaretta (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 13%
Triway (0-0) 9%
Coldwater (0-0) 8%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 106.1, #304, D5 #37), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 21% home (maybe if 8-2), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 79.6