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Rankings
#20 of 101 in Division 4
#7 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #28 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #201 Alliance (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 2 (54%)
08/28 H #495 Marlington (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 33 (95%)
09/04 A #443 Canton Central Catholic (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (93%)
09/11 A #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (20%)
09/18 A #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 3 (57%)
09/25 H #600 Coventry (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/02 A #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/09 A #293 Tuslaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/16 H #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 H #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 5-5), 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.85 ( 1.65-32.80) 94% in, 75% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 40%
Lose: 10.30 ( 0.00-27.60) 58% in, 28% home, 6% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 10W: 26.90 (21.20-32.80) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(13%) 9W: 22.90 (17.40-30.55) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 74%
(15%) 8W: 19.35 (13.10-26.50) 100% in, 96% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 33%
(15%) 7W: 16.10 (10.15-23.20) 99% in, 75% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Lutheran East (0-0) 8%
(15%) 6W: 13.00 ( 7.45-21.45) 94% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 10.30 ( 5.60-18.25) 69% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Norton (0-0) 10%
(10%) 4W: 7.85 ( 3.85-15.55) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Hubbard (0-0) 10%
( 6%) 3W: 5.60 ( 2.25-10.50) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 2W: 3.40 ( 1.00- 7.00) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.40 ( 0.45- 4.40) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Hubbard (0-0) 6%
Lutheran East (0-0) 5%
Norton (0-0) 5%
Orrville (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 14%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Streetsboro (0-0) 12%
Rocky River (0-0) 11%
Norton (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 72.3, #542, D4 #85), 7% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 121.3