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Rankings
#28 of 102 in Division 4
#8 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #33 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #14 in D4 (+161 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 16-0 H #255 Alliance (4-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 136
08/28 W 36-21 H #411 Marlington (2-5) D4 R13, pick: W by 33 (95%), perf. rating 114
09/04 W 30-21 A #371 Canton Central Catholic (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 21 (88%), perf. rating 114
09/11 W 21-18 A #90 Triway (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 17 (16%), perf. rating 147
09/18 W 24-7 A #420 Canton South (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 119
09/25 W 34-6 H #605 Coventry (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 46 (99%), perf. rating 98
10/02 L 28-19 A #218 Orrville (6-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 5 (63%), perf. rating 109
10/09 A #359 Tuslaw (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/16 H #277 Fairless (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 H #168 Manchester (Akron) (4-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 86% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.20 (15.70-24.05) 100% in, 90% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), Poland Seminary (4-3) 17%
Lose: 17.70 (14.00-22.25) 100% in, 57% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Orrville (6-1) 35%
Based on eventual number of wins
(33%) 9W: 22.65 (20.80-24.05) 100% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 34%
(46%) 8W: 19.85 (18.00-22.25) 100% in, 94% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Poland Seminary (4-3) 19%
(18%) 7W: 17.30 (15.70-19.45) 100% in, 55% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Orrville (6-1) 48%
( 4%) 6W: 15.45 (14.00-17.25) 100% in, 15% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Orrville (6-1) 41%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(33%) WWW: 22.65 (20.80-24.05) 100% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 34%
( 2%) LWW: 20.55 (19.10-22.25) 100% in, 98% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-3) 26%
( 6%) WLW: 19.95 (18.50-21.25) 100% in, 90% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#9), Poland Seminary (4-3) 18%
(38%) WWL: 19.85 (18.00-21.25) 100% in, 94% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Poland Seminary (4-3) 19%
( 5%) LWL: 17.75 (16.30-19.45) 100% in, 69% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Orrville (6-1) 46%
(12%) WLL: 17.15 (15.70-18.90) 100% in, 50% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Orrville (6-1) 49%
( 4%) LLL: 15.45 (14.00-17.25) 100% in, 15% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Orrville (6-1) 41%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 121.5, #209, D4 #28), appears locked in, 86% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 6 (6-0, 122.0, #203, D4 #27), appears locked in, 92% home (maybe if 7-3), 47% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 126.3, #177, D4 #23), appears locked in, 96% home (maybe if 7-3), 48% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 125.5, #178, D4 #22), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 49% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 120.6, #219, D4 #26), likely in, 70% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 122.1, #204, D4 #25), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 27% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 127.4, #170, D4 #17), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 45% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 120.1, #202, D4 #20), 78% (bubble if 4-6), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 121.3