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Rankings
#24 of 101 in Division 4
#5 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #55 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #65 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #267 Vermilion (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 7 (63%)
08/28 H #208 Centerburg (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/04 A #158 Granville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 13 (23%)
09/11 H #287 Mount Vernon (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 10 (72%)
09/18 A #85 Licking Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 H #569 Newark Catholic (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/02 A #447 Utica (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/09 H #277 Heath (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/16 H #665 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #532 Northridge (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
66% (bubble if 5-5), 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.30 ( 0.95-35.90) 83% in, 63% home, 33% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 39%
Lose: 8.90 ( 0.00-29.15) 38% in, 18% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 27.70 (17.45-35.90) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 98%
(12%) 9W: 23.30 (14.50-31.20) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 81%
(16%) 8W: 19.40 (11.40-29.15) 99% in, 94% home, 36% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 36%
(16%) 7W: 16.00 ( 9.75-26.20) 97% in, 63% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Union Local (0-0) 7%
(16%) 6W: 12.70 ( 6.90-21.40) 78% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 9.55 ( 5.25-16.50) 32% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 6.75 ( 3.10-14.15) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 6%) 3W: 4.25 ( 1.75-10.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 2W: 2.20 ( 0.95- 8.35) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.50 ( 0.40- 4.40) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 5%
Union Local (0-0) 5%
Indian Creek (0-0) 5%
West Muskingum (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 13%
New Lexington (0-0) 12%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 8%
St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 97.6, #384, D4 #59), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 118.4