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Rankings
#65 of 107 in Division 6
#21 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #77 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #611 Elmwood (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 20 (82%)
08/28 A #614 Hicksville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 17 (80%)
09/04 A #618 Arcadia (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 18 (84%)
09/11 H #532 Northridge (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 4 (59%)
09/19 A #655 Crestline (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 27 (95%)
09/25 H #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/02 H #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 A #546 Ottawa Hills (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/16 A #394 Woodmore (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #526 Northwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 3 (57%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
8.21 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
30% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.01 ( 0.40-25.11) 34% in, 15% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 3.52 ( 0.00-20.92) 8% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 19.18 (14.41-25.11) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 74%
( 5%) 9W: 15.72 (10.37-22.04) 99% in, 86% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 23%
(10%) 8W: 12.75 ( 7.04-19.16) 91% in, 42% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 9%
(16%) 7W: 10.23 ( 5.28-16.59) 56% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 8.21 ( 3.76-15.94) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
(16%) 5W: 6.39 ( 2.96-12.61) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Carey (0-0) 11%
(13%) 4W: 4.83 ( 1.95-10.99) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
(10%) 3W: 3.37 ( 1.05- 7.72) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 6%) 2W: 2.16 ( 0.70- 7.01) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 1.06 ( 0.35- 4.09) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 6%
Woodmore (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 18%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 12%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
Carey (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 76.5, #518, D6 #65), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 81.4