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Rankings
#43 of 103 in Division 7
#16 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #14 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #47 in D7 (-110 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 40-3 H #118 Leipsic (8-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 78
08/28 L 14-10 A #514 St Paul (4-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 74
09/04 L 41-7 H #241 Seneca East (6-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 28 (6%), perf. rating 64
09/11 L 44-12 A #318 Colonel Crawford (4-4) D6 R23, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 61
09/18 L 34-14 A #445 Lucas (4-4) D7 R27, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 60
09/25 L 35-0 H #224 Carey (5-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 65
10/02 L 42-0 H #109 Hopewell-Loudon (8-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 73
10/09 W 35-0 A #658 Buckeye Central (1-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (96%), perf. rating 93
10/16 H #584 Bucyrus (4-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/23 A #253 Mohawk (7-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.67 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.67 ( 2.67- 6.76) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 0.70 ( 0.70- 4.39) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 5.95 ( 5.95- 6.76) 55% in, proj. #12 (#10-out)
(79%) 2W: 2.67 ( 2.67- 4.39) out, proj. out
(20%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.70- 1.21) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WW: 5.95 ( 5.95- 6.76) 55% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Edon (7-1) 50%
(79%) WL: 2.67 ( 2.67- 3.53) out
(20%) LL: 0.70 ( 0.70- 1.21) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 70.5, #552, D7 #45), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (0-6, 71.0, #549, D7 #44), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (0-5, 68.7, #558, D7 #45), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (0-4, 75.1, #522, D7 #37), 8% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 74.3, #539, D7 #42), 7% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 83.1, #474, D7 #30), 18% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 83.7, #473, D7 #28), 23% (bubble if 4-6), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 92.0, #426, D7 #23), 43% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 91.2