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Rankings
#52 of 103 in Division 7
#17 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #20 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #70 in D7 (-337 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-14 A #678 Cory-Rawson (0-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 68
08/28 L 38-28 H #438 Ada (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 72
09/04 L 28-21 H #528 Lakota (2-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 11 (27%), perf. rating 63
09/11 H #513 Elmwood (1-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 H #294 Van Buren (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/25 A #618 Riverdale (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/02 H #181 Leipsic (3-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/09 A #352 Pandora-Gilboa (1-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/16 A #302 McComb (2-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/23 A #553 Arlington (0-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.95 ( 1.15-13.75) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Montpelier (3-0) 16%
Lose: 1.45 ( 0.35-11.00) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Mohawk (2-1) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 5W: 7.05 ( 4.80-10.05) 82% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Montpelier (3-0) 16%
(12%) 4W: 4.65 ( 3.25- 8.15) 13% in, proj. out (#9-out), Edon (3-0) 18%
(27%) 3W: 2.85 ( 1.75- 6.75) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(36%) 2W: 1.75 ( 0.70- 6.05) out, proj. out
(22%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 2.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWLLLW: 7.45 ( 5.95- 9.55) 91% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Edon (3-0) 20%
( 9%) WLWLLLW: 4.35 ( 3.25- 6.50) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out), Edon (3-0) 20%
( 8%) WLWLLLL: 3.25 ( 2.20- 5.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), McComb (2-1) 50%
(14%) LLWLLLW: 2.50 ( 1.75- 5.10) out
( 3%) WLLLLLL: 2.20 ( 1.15- 4.00) out
( 4%) LLLLLLW: 1.75 ( 0.70- 3.20) out
(29%) LLWLLLL: 1.40 ( 1.05- 3.95) out
(22%) LLLLLLL: 0.70 ( 0.35- 2.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (1-2, 64.2, #579, D7 #52), 4% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 63.4, #592, D7 #55), 10% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 59.8, #611, D7 #63), 11% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 56.9, #618, D7 #65), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 60.1