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Rankings
#25 of 105 in Division 5
#14 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #68 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #41 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #284 Mohawk (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 7 (63%)
08/28 A #335 W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 9 (67%)
09/04 A #621 Brookside (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/11 H #268 Huron (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/18 A #687 St Thomas Aquinas (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 A #518 Lakota (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/02 A #526 Northwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/09 H #394 Woodmore (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/16 A #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/23 H #546 Ottawa Hills (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
16.68 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#7 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
69% (bubble if 7-3), 45% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.70 ( 2.57-29.25) 85% in, 62% home, 25% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 11.49 ( 0.00-24.81) 42% in, 16% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
(18%) 10W: 22.43 (16.52-29.25) 99% in, 98% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 60%
(21%) 9W: 19.51 (12.94-26.43) 99% in, 81% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 23%
(19%) 8W: 16.68 (10.27-24.61) 93% in, 46% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
(15%) 7W: 13.86 ( 8.10-20.68) 67% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(11%) 6W: 11.19 ( 5.48-16.95) 29% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 5W: 8.46 ( 3.87-13.67) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 5%) 4W: 6.14 ( 1.75-11.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 3W: 3.93 ( 1.30-10.44) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.36 ( 0.90- 5.24) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 6%
Norwayne (0-0) 5%
Eastwood (0-0) 5%
Indian Lake (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 11%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 8%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 148.1, #62, D5 #3), 88% (bubble if 6-4), 75% home (maybe if 7-3), 52% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 122.1