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Rankings
#54 of 80 in Division 1
#15 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #47 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H Aurora S. Dearborn IN (0-0) D4
08/28 A #120 Turpin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 13 (26%)
09/04 A #8 Anderson (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 40 (1%)
09/11 H #387 Walnut Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 26 (94%)
09/18 A #114 Lebanon (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 14 (19%)
09/25 H #29 Winton Woods (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/02 A #53 Kings (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/09 H #131 Loveland (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/16 A #266 Milford (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 H #272 West Clermont (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 14 (82%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
40% (bubble if 4-6), 14% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.30 ( 1.00-36.15) 47% in, 17% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 9%
Lose: 6.85 ( 0.00-32.25) 34% in, 12% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 28.70 (24.85-32.25) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 93%
( 3%) 8W: 24.05 (20.40-30.90) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 44%
( 7%) 7W: 19.60 (15.20-26.40) 100% in, 85% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Elder (0-0) 9%
(11%) 6W: 15.25 (11.05-22.60) 99% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(16%) 5W: 11.45 ( 7.45-20.85) 79% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(19%) 4W: 8.20 ( 4.40-14.90) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(19%) 3W: 5.50 ( 2.45-11.25) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), Elder (0-0) 14%
(14%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.15- 9.70) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 1W: 1.30 ( 0.60- 5.65) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 10%
St Xavier (0-0) 7%
Middletown (0-0) 7%
Springboro (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 13%
Lakota West (0-0) 12%
St Xavier (0-0) 12%
Winton Woods (0-0) 10%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 124.0, #181, D1 #54), 40% (bubble if 4-6), 14% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 131.5