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Rankings
#76 of 80 in Division 1
#20 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #40 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #77 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #102 Withrow (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 34 (6%)
08/28 H #266 Milford (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 13 (26%)
09/04 H #120 Turpin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 A #181 Little Miami (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 26 (6%)
09/18 A #29 Winton Woods (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 44 (1%)
09/25 H #131 Loveland (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/02 A #272 West Clermont (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/09 H #8 Anderson (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/16 A #114 Lebanon (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 H #53 Kings (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
7% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.35 ( 0.60-35.80) 34% in, 12% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Lose: 1.20 ( 0.00-32.20) 5% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 20.40 (16.35-25.85) 100% in, 89% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Hamilton (0-0) 11%
( 1%) 6W: 16.15 (12.50-22.60) 99% in, 44% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
( 3%) 5W: 12.35 ( 8.10-19.30) 85% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
( 5%) 4W: 8.85 ( 5.60-16.45) 38% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 3W: 6.15 ( 3.05-15.75) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(16%) 2W: 3.70 ( 1.75-10.95) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(27%) 1W: 1.30 ( 0.60- 6.30) out, proj. out
(38%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 11%
St Xavier (0-0) 8%
Middletown (0-0) 7%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 7%
Hamilton (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Lakota West (0-0) 14%
Princeton (0-0) 12%
St Xavier (0-0) 12%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 11%
Middletown (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 97.2, #387, D1 #76), 7% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 98.2