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Rankings
#65 of 79 in Division 1
#17 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #57 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D1 (-239 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-12 A #354 Mount Healthy (2-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 13 (72%), perf. rating 148
08/28 L 70-19 H #9 Anderson (7-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 40 (2%), perf. rating 113
09/04 L 34-20 H #105 Lebanon (6-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 18 (16%), perf. rating 115
09/11 L 45-14 A #114 Kings (4-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 92
09/18 W 43-41 H #224 Milford (1-7) D1 R4, pick: W by 6 (65%), perf. rating 120
09/25 L 55-19 A #125 Turpin (4-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 8 (31%), perf. rating 83
10/02 W 45-5 H #452 Walnut Hills (0-8) D1 R4, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 145
10/09 L 57-0 A #26 Winton Woods (7-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 104
10/16 H #357 Loveland (2-6) D2 R8, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 A #97 Little Miami (5-3) D1 R4, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.40 ( 5.40-10.90) out, proj. out
Lose: 3.50 ( 3.50- 8.95) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 5W: 9.65 ( 9.65-10.90) out, proj. out
(79%) 4W: 5.40 ( 5.40- 8.95) out, proj. out
(17%) 3W: 3.50 ( 3.50- 5.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WW: 9.65 ( 9.65-10.90) out
(78%) WL: 5.40 ( 5.40- 7.30) out
(17%) LL: 3.50 ( 3.50- 5.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 8 (3-5, 113.1, #271, D1 #65), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 4-6
Week 7 (3-4, 113.7, #263, D1 #64), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (2-4, 110.3, #292, D1 #68), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 118.5, #228, D1 #61), 12% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (1-3, 120.6, #213, D1 #59), 20% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 122.4, #202, D1 #56), 24% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 119.4, #225, D1 #62), 22% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 120.6, #212, D1 #58), 35% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 111.6, #272, D1 #68), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 103.2