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Rankings
#68 of 80 in Division 1
#18 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #56 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #78 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 13 (72%)
08/28 H #8 Anderson (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 44 (1%)
09/04 H #114 Lebanon (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 22 (11%)
09/11 A #53 Kings (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/18 H #266 Milford (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 A #120 Turpin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/02 H #387 Walnut Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/09 A #29 Winton Woods (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/16 H #131 Loveland (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/23 A #181 Little Miami (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
22% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.15 ( 0.55-34.30) 28% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Lose: 1.85 ( 0.00-26.00) 6% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 27.00 (24.30-31.25) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 86%
( 2%) 8W: 22.00 (19.60-27.40) 100% in, 99% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), bye 22%
( 4%) 7W: 17.50 (13.95-24.60) 100% in, 68% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Elder (0-0) 11%
( 7%) 6W: 13.55 (10.05-21.95) 95% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(12%) 5W: 10.00 ( 6.80-19.20) 56% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 7.15 ( 4.30-14.60) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
(19%) 3W: 4.60 ( 2.40-12.60) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.15-10.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(14%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.55- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 7%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 10%
St Xavier (0-0) 8%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 7%
Springboro (0-0) 7%
Middletown (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
St Xavier (0-0) 13%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 12%
Lakota West (0-0) 11%
Winton Woods (0-0) 11%
Princeton (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 111.6, #272, D1 #68), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 103.2