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Rankings
#40 of 80 in Division 1
#13 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #61 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #67 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 28 (90%)
08/28 A #131 Loveland (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 A #272 West Clermont (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 22 (89%)
09/11 H #8 Anderson (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 H #181 Little Miami (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 14 (81%)
09/25 A #53 Kings (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 17 (14%)
10/02 H #266 Milford (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/09 A #120 Turpin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 H #387 Walnut Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #29 Winton Woods (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
13.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
67% (bubble if 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.60 ( 0.65-37.25) 71% in, 39% home, 11% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 6.10 ( 0.00-31.45) 33% in, 11% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 32.60 (30.00-37.25) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 6%) 9W: 26.95 (24.05-33.30) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 86%
(13%) 8W: 21.90 (18.80-29.55) 100% in, 99% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 21%
(17%) 7W: 17.45 (13.95-24.70) 100% in, 71% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Elder (0-0) 10%
(17%) 6W: 13.30 (10.20-22.05) 97% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
(16%) 5W: 10.10 ( 6.95-19.10) 65% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
(12%) 4W: 7.45 ( 4.40-18.75) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Lakota West (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 3W: 4.95 ( 2.50-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.25- 7.50) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.60- 6.35) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 9%
Springboro (0-0) 6%
St Xavier (0-0) 6%
Middletown (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 12%
St Xavier (0-0) 12%
Winton Woods (0-0) 11%
Lakota West (0-0) 11%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 136.2, #114, D1 #40), 67% (bubble if 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 138.5