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Rankings
#42 of 79 in Division 1
#14 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #67 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D1 (+28 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 38-17 H #316 Northmont (1-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 137
08/28 W 42-7 A #357 Loveland (2-6) D2 R8, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 155
09/04 W 34-20 A #271 West Clermont (3-5) D1 R4, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 136
09/11 L 52-13 H #9 Anderson (7-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 30 (4%), perf. rating 117
09/18 W 36-35 H #97 Little Miami (5-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 15 (83%), perf. rating 138
09/25 W 35-24 A #114 Kings (4-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 13 (20%), perf. rating 155
10/02 W 39-29 H #225 Milford (1-7) D1 R4, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 132
10/09 L 63-60 A #125 Turpin (4-4) D2 R8, pick: W by 6 (65%), perf. rating 132
10/16 H #452 Walnut Hills (0-8) D1 R4, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/23 A #26 Winton Woods (7-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
17.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 16% home (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.45 (16.80-24.35) 100% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-#12), Middletown (5-3) 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 8W: 22.50 (21.90-24.35) 100% home, 10% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Fairfield (4-4) 55%
(95%) 7W: 17.45 (16.80-22.45) 100% in, 12% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Middletown (5-3) 33%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WW: 22.50 (21.90-24.35) 100% home, 10% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Fairfield (4-4) 55%
(94%) WL: 17.45 (16.80-19.40) 100% in, 12% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Middletown (5-3) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 139.9, #94, D1 #36), appears locked in, 81% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 140.9, #90, D1 #35), appears locked in, 81% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 136.2, #112, D1 #38), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 139.7, #97, D1 #35), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 50% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 142.2, #79, D1 #31), 92% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 139.4, #95, D1 #34), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 45% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 136.0, #117, D1 #42), 75% (bubble if 5-5), 39% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 136.2, #114, D1 #40), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 138.5