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Rankings
#66 of 80 in Division 1
#17 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #41 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #71 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #78 Harrison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 27 (11%)
08/28 A #387 Walnut Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 13 (74%)
09/04 A #29 Winton Woods (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 37 (2%)
09/11 H #131 Loveland (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 20 (12%)
09/18 A #272 West Clermont (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/25 H #8 Anderson (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/02 A #114 Lebanon (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/09 H #53 Kings (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 H #181 Little Miami (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 A #120 Turpin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
21% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.65 ( 0.60-36.90) 59% in, 26% home, 6% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
Lose: 3.60 ( 0.00-33.25) 16% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 25.15 (20.25-30.45) 100% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 53%
( 2%) 7W: 20.42 (15.70-25.60) 100% in, 91% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), Elder (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 6W: 16.10 (11.45-24.15) 99% in, 42% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 5W: 12.05 ( 8.10-20.10) 86% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 13%
(12%) 4W: 8.70 ( 4.95-15.20) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
(17%) 3W: 5.60 ( 2.55-12.55) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(20%) 2W: 3.10 ( 1.25-10.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(21%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.60- 6.30) out, proj. out
(12%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 11%
St Xavier (0-0) 7%
Springboro (0-0) 7%
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 7%
Middletown (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 14%
Lakota West (0-0) 12%
Winton Woods (0-0) 11%
St Xavier (0-0) 11%
Princeton (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 112.1, #266, D1 #66), 21% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 107.9