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Rankings
#4 of 104 in Division 2
#1 of 23 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #27 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D2 (+283 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 52-10 H Union Cooper KY (2-2) D2
08/29 W 49-7 H #213 West Clermont (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 23 (88%), perf. rating 181
09/05 W 50-7 A #214 Little Miami (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 185
09/12 W 36-10 H #75 Lebanon (3-1) D1 R2, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 182
09/19 A #42 Kings (4-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 21 (91%)
09/26 H #218 Milford (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/03 A #136 Turpin (2-2) D2 R8, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/10 H #462 Walnut Hills (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/17 A #43 Winton Woods (3-1) D1 R4, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/24 H #115 Loveland (1-3) D2 R8, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
35.74 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#1 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 35.64 (21.58-37.16) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Lose: 28.83 (17.79-31.81) 100% in, 99% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#10), bye 92%
Based on eventual number of wins
(78%) 10W: 35.74 (33.83-37.16) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(18%) 9W: 29.99 (27.47-35.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) 8W: 24.90 (22.27-31.92) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 86%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(78%) WWWWWW: 35.74 (33.83-37.16) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 1%) WWWWWL: 31.91 (30.70-34.49) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 1%) WWLWWW: 31.41 (28.93-34.44) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 7%) WWWWLW: 29.99 (28.07-32.52) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 7%) LWWWWW: 29.39 (27.47-31.81) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) LWWWLW: 23.64 (22.27-26.11) 100% home, 76% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 76%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 179.3, #7, D2 #4), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 178.2, #9, D2 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 97% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 183.1, #5, D2 #3), likely in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 174.8, #11, D2 #4), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 81% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 174.8, #11, D2 #4), 98% (likely in at 5-5 or better), 94% home (maybe if 6-4), 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 177.0