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Rankings
#70 of 100 in Division 2
#19 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #23 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D2 (-339 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 39-6 H #251 Monroe (5-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 65
08/28 L 42-7 H #105 Lebanon (6-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 26 (10%), perf. rating 84
09/04 L 41-14 H #114 Kings (4-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 33 (3%), perf. rating 94
09/11 W 36-35 A #225 Milford (1-7) D1 R4, pick: L by 28 (5%), perf. rating 123
09/18 L 42-21 H #125 Turpin (4-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 14 (19%), perf. rating 101
09/25 W 49-42 A #452 Walnut Hills (0-8) D1 R4, pick: W by 16 (85%), perf. rating 100
10/02 L 56-0 H #26 Winton Woods (7-1) D1 R4, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 100
10/09 L 34-0 A #97 Little Miami (5-3) D1 R4, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 90
10/16 A #271 West Clermont (3-5) D1 R4, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/23 H #9 Anderson (7-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 47 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.45 ( 4.45-10.80) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.95 ( 1.95- 8.90) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 3W: 4.45 ( 4.45- 8.90) out, proj. out
(81%) 2W: 1.95 ( 1.95- 3.85) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(18%) WL: 4.45 ( 4.45- 6.35) out
(81%) LL: 1.95 ( 1.95- 3.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 101.6, #358, D2 #70), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (2-4, 101.5, #356, D2 #70), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 102.6, #350, D2 #67), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 103.8, #336, D2 #67), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 94.6, #404, D2 #74), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 95.2, #396, D2 #74), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 105.1, #322, D2 #63), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 134.1, #131, D2 #41), 45% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 135.9