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Rankings
#57 of 102 in Division 3
#21 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #34 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #65 in D3 (-204 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 39-7 H #34 Perry (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 109
08/28 W 36-24 A #206 Maple Heights (5-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 20 (16%), perf. rating 142
09/04 L 16-13 H #195 Holy Name (4-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 17 (83%), perf. rating 117
09/11 L 20-16 H #128 Chardon (3-5) D3 R9, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 126
09/18 L 30-7 A #90 South (Willoughby) (8-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 12 (23%), perf. rating 108
09/25 W 46-26 A #528 Jefferson Area (0-8) D4 R13, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 107
10/02 L 20-7 A #388 Harvey (3-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 25 (95%), perf. rating 79
10/08 L 37-7 H #108 North (Eastlake) (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 21 (8%), perf. rating 91
10/16 A #510 Lutheran West (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/23 H #463 Lakeside (2-6) D3 R9, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.20 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.20 ( 5.03- 8.82) out, proj. out
Lose: 6.09 ( 3.93- 7.16) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 4W: 7.20 ( 6.64- 8.82) out, proj. out
( 8%) 3W: 5.59 ( 5.03- 7.16) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WW: 7.20 ( 6.64- 8.82) out
( 3%) LW: 6.09 ( 5.54- 7.16) out
( 5%) WL: 5.59 ( 5.03- 6.70) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 111.2, #285, D3 #57), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (2-4, 119.1, #227, D3 #41), 3% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (1-4, 119.0, #226, D3 #38), 4% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (1-3, 123.1, #193, D3 #31), 22% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 123.5, #191, D3 #31), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 128.8, #158, D3 #27), 61% (likely needs 7-3), 39% home (likely needs 8-2), 17% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 114.7, #251, D3 #50), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 117.9, #218, D3 #42), 33% (bubble if 7-3), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 118.7