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Rankings
#70 of 102 in Division 4
#20 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #3 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #66 in D4 (-319 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 20-6 A #148 Garaway (6-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 20 (18%), perf. rating 112
08/28 L 49-7 A #155 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 31 (6%), perf. rating 68
09/04 L 34-7 H #213 East (Akron) (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 6 (37%), perf. rating 79
09/11 L 37-13 H #168 Manchester (Akron) (4-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 89
09/18 L 24-7 H #209 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 94
09/25 L 41-14 A #218 Orrville (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 82
10/02 L 62-6 H #90 Triway (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 76
10/09 A #277 Fairless (3-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 H #359 Tuslaw (2-5) D5 R17, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/23 A #605 Coventry (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.50 ( 1.80- 5.95) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.40 ( 0.00- 3.70) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 3W: 4.90 ( 4.50- 5.95) out, proj. out
(31%) 2W: 2.65 ( 2.25- 4.15) out, proj. out
(62%) 1W: 1.40 ( 1.00- 2.75) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WWW: 4.90 ( 4.50- 5.95) out
( 4%) WLW: 3.20 ( 2.80- 4.15) out
(27%) LWW: 2.65 ( 2.25- 3.70) out
(62%) LLW: 1.40 ( 1.00- 1.95) out
( 3%) LLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 91.9, #420, D4 #70), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (0-6, 92.8, #413, D4 #64), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (0-5, 95.9, #397, D4 #63), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (0-4, 95.2, #407, D4 #65), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 97.1, #386, D4 #64), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 109.5, #296, D4 #41), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (likely needs 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 114.5, #252, D4 #32), 44% (bubble if 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 114.8, #245, D4 #29), 43% (bubble if 5-5), 26% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 117.5