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Rankings
#29 of 101 in Division 4
#6 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #4 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #135 Garaway (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 20 (18%)
08/28 A #23 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (3%)
09/04 H #172 East (Akron) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 8 (33%)
09/11 H #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 H #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/25 A #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/02 H #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 15 (17%)
10/09 A #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/16 H #293 Tuslaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #600 Coventry (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
43% (bubble if 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.00 ( 1.40-36.90) 80% in, 62% home, 36% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 45%
Lose: 8.00 ( 0.00-32.85) 35% in, 19% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 31.18 (22.80-36.90) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 26.85 (20.40-32.85) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) 8W: 23.00 (17.15-29.20) 100% in, 99% home, 77% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 77%
( 9%) 7W: 19.20 (12.75-27.95) 99% in, 93% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 29%
(12%) 6W: 15.50 ( 9.45-21.85) 96% in, 53% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
(13%) 5W: 12.00 ( 7.00-19.05) 66% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 8.75 ( 4.50-15.15) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
(16%) 3W: 5.90 ( 2.60-11.70) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(13%) 2W: 3.40 ( 0.95- 9.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 9%) 1W: 1.40 ( 0.45- 5.10) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 6%
Union Local (0-0) 5%
Indian Creek (0-0) 5%
Heath (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 15%
New Lexington (0-0) 13%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 8%
St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 51.7, #633, D4 #96), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 117.5