Region 11 home page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 11 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#35 of 107 in Division 3
#6 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #58 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D3 (+35 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 27-12 H #363 Marion-Franklin (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 33 (93%), perf. rating 121
08/29 W 30-21 H #84 Tri-Valley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 5 (40%), perf. rating 156
09/05 W 33-14 A #219 Johnstown (2-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 150
09/12 L 31-16 A #325 Washington (2-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 85
09/19 H #423 Utica (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/26 A #233 Watkins Memorial (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/03 A #397 Licking Heights (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/10 H #99 Licking Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/17 H #569 Zanesville (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/24 A #297 Mount Vernon (2-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 17 (87%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
22.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.20 (12.90-30.00) 99% in, 92% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
Lose: 17.40 (10.55-26.80) 96% in, 56% home, 9% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Athens (4-0) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
(21%) 9W: 27.45 (24.55-30.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(43%) 8W: 22.55 (19.65-27.95) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 13%
(25%) 7W: 19.20 (16.10-24.10) 100% in, 90% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Athens (4-0) 19%
( 9%) 6W: 16.40 (13.25-20.15) 99% in, 44% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 19%
( 2%) 5W: 14.70 (12.55-17.55) 98% in, 17% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(21%) WWWWWW: 27.45 (24.55-30.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) WWWWWL: 24.10 (21.85-26.55) 100% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 54%
( 4%) WLWWWW: 23.95 (21.25-27.15) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 56%
(37%) WWWLWW: 22.25 (19.65-25.35) 100% in, 99% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 14%
( 1%) WWLLWW: 20.00 (18.30-22.00) 100% in, 98% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 19%
(15%) WLWLWW: 19.15 (16.10-22.70) 100% in, 88% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Athens (4-0) 19%
( 7%) WWWLWL: 19.05 (16.45-21.05) 100% in, 91% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Athens (4-0) 19%
( 6%) WLWLWL: 16.10 (13.25-18.10) 99% in, 36% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 128.9, #165, D3 #35), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 147.1, #76, D3 #12), appears locked in and likely home, 84% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 134.2, #129, D3 #22), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 64% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 128.3, #160, D3 #32), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 27% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 133.6, #133, D3 #31), 80% (bubble if 6-4), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 35% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 132.4