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Rankings
#27 of 104 in Division 3
#6 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #46 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #188 Clear Fork (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 7 (63%)
08/28 A #104 Tri-Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 11 (29%)
09/04 H #223 Johnstown (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 13 (77%)
09/10 A #211 Columbus Academy (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 8 (68%)
09/18 A #665 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 H #287 Mount Vernon (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/02 A #574 Zanesville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/09 H #220 Watkins Memorial (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/16 A #85 Licking Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/23 H #385 Licking Heights (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
68% (bubble if 6-4), 50% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.30 ( 1.55-36.55) 83% in, 65% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 46%
Lose: 10.15 ( 0.00-30.45) 42% in, 23% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 28.95 (20.25-36.55) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(14%) 9W: 24.60 (16.65-33.20) 100% in, 99% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#12), bye 82%
(17%) 8W: 20.30 (13.80-30.95) 99% in, 91% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 34%
(16%) 7W: 16.60 ( 9.90-25.20) 95% in, 56% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(14%) 6W: 13.00 ( 6.45-20.75) 69% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 9.70 ( 4.75-18.10) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Athens (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 4W: 6.60 ( 2.80-12.80) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 6%) 3W: 3.90 ( 1.50-10.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 2W: 1.60 ( 0.95- 7.50) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.50- 4.65) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Athens (0-0) 6%
East (Columbus) (0-0) 4%
Sheridan (0-0) 4%
Steubenville (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Licking Valley (0-0) 12%
Tri-Valley (0-0) 11%
Jackson (0-0) 10%
Steubenville (0-0) 9%
Bishop Hartley (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 85.5, #468, D3 #82), 24% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 128.1