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Region 24 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#94 of 107 in Division 6
#21 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #43 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D6 (-790 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 68-12 A #271 Tri-Village (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 48 (1%), perf. rating 52
08/28 L 35-14 H #578 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 21 (15%), perf. rating 33
09/06 L 48-0 A #531 Meadowdale (1-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 36 (2%), perf. rating 15
09/12 L 20-14 H #550 Bethel (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 61
09/19 H #245 Lehman Catholic (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 47 (1%)
09/26 A #513 Covington (0-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/03 H #483 Milton-Union (0-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/10 H #450 Riverside (DeGraff) (2-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/17 A #373 Miami East (3-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/24 A #460 Northridge (0-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.46) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.40- 4.04) out, proj. out
(89%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLWLL: 2.07 ( 1.21- 3.38) out
( 3%) LLWLLL: 0.96 ( 0.45- 2.27) out
( 2%) LLLLLW: 0.96 ( 0.45- 2.62) out
( 2%) LWLLLL: 0.85 ( 0.40- 2.52) out
(89%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 42.1, #658, D6 #94), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 35.6, #673, D6 #99), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 37.9, #669, D6 #98), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 40.1, #670, D6 #97), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 37.4, #674, D6 #100), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 29.4