Region 24 home page
Region 24 projections
Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 24 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#79 of 107 in Division 6
#18 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #74 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D6 (+10 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 41-0 H #689 Twin Valley South (0-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 10 (32%), perf. rating 78
08/28 W 42-0 A #671 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 15 (77%), perf. rating 95
09/04 H #512 Dayton Christian (1-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 9 (31%)
09/11 A #549 Bethel (0-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/19 A #531 Lehman Catholic (0-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (29%)
09/25 H #381 Covington (1-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (6%)
10/02 A #524 Milton-Union (0-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/09 A #389 Riverside (DeGraff) (1-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/16 H #253 Miami East (2-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/23 H #505 Northridge (0-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
1.81 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
12% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.51 ( 1.23- 5.76) 31% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Madison-Plains (2-0) 13%
Lose: 1.24 ( 0.70- 5.07) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Zane Trace (2-0) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 4.17 ( 4.01- 4.62) 100% in, 64% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Madison-Plains (2-0) 15%
( 5%) 7W: 3.54 ( 3.25- 4.09) 89% in, 10% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Madison-Plains (2-0) 12%
( 9%) 6W: 2.93 ( 2.68- 3.46) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Zane Trace (2-0) 26%
(13%) 5W: 2.38 ( 2.06- 2.79) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 4W: 1.81 ( 1.54- 2.21) out, proj. out
(24%) 3W: 1.26 ( 1.05- 1.59) out, proj. out
(26%) 2W: 0.70 ( 0.70- 0.90) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWLLLLLW: 1.85 ( 1.80- 2.11) out
( 4%) WLLLLLLL: 1.38 ( 1.23- 1.51) out
( 5%) LWLLLLLL: 1.29 ( 1.25- 1.51) out
( 6%) LLLLLLLW: 1.26 ( 1.20- 1.54) out
( 4%) LLLLWLLL: 1.19 ( 1.15- 1.37) out
( 3%) LLWLLLLL: 1.09 ( 1.05- 1.26) out
(26%) LLLLLLLL: 0.70 ( 0.70- 0.90) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (2-0, 67.4, #574, D6 #79), 9% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 60.8, #605, D6 #86), 8% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 36.8, #670, D6 #103), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 39.9