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Rankings
#23 of 102 in Division 4
#6 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #84 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D4 (+118 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-26 A #123 Bishop Fenwick (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 11 (69%), perf. rating 140
08/28 L 20-10 H #149 Versailles (4-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 7 (36%), perf. rating 113
09/04 W 24-12 A #388 Madeira (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 116
09/11 W 36-19 H #399 New Richmond (3-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 32 (97%), perf. rating 118
09/19 W 46-18 A #448 Aiken (2-5) D2 R8, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 131
09/25 W 36-0 H #441 Taft (0-7) D4 R16, pick: W by 25 (94%), perf. rating 140
10/02 W 36-0 H #540 Meadowdale (2-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 125
10/09 H #473 Purcell Marian (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/16 A #395 Roger Bacon (1-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 H #490 Summit Country Day (4-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
23.54 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.44 (17.94-26.62) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 96%
Based on eventual number of wins
(94%) 9W: 23.54 (20.16-26.62) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 6%) 8W: 21.37 (18.70-24.30) 100% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 51%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(94%) WWW: 23.54 (20.16-26.62) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 4%) WLW: 21.68 (19.61-24.30) 100% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 63%
( 1%) WWL: 20.77 (18.70-22.43) 100% home, 21% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#7), Kenton Ridge (6-1) 25%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 125.4, #180, D4 #23), appears locked in and home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 124.3, #191, D4 #25), appears locked in and home, 91% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 123.7, #194, D4 #27), appears locked in and home, 92% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 121.1, #209, D4 #29), likely in and likely home, 70% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 123.4, #192, D4 #22), likely in and likely home, 81% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (1-1, 125.9, #179, D4 #20), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 75% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 123.8, #189, D4 #21), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 65% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 126.5, #168, D4 #15), 89% (bubble if 4-6), 75% home (maybe if 6-4), 41% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 131.0