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Rankings
#15 of 101 in Division 4
#5 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #59 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #76 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #257 Bishop Fenwick (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 11 (69%)
08/28 H #174 Versailles (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 4 (57%)
09/04 A #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 28 (94%)
09/11 H #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 29 (96%)
09/19 A #391 Aiken (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 25 (94%)
09/25 H #50 Taft (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #458 Meadowdale (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/09 H #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 A #312 Roger Bacon (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 H #564 Summit Country Day (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 41 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
21.02 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#4 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
88% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 41% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.03 ( 1.01-36.72) 96% in, 86% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 15.33 ( 0.00-31.37) 72% in, 49% home, 16% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 10W: 27.27 (17.38-36.72) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 98%
(24%) 9W: 23.79 (14.10-34.80) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 74%
(21%) 8W: 21.02 (12.54-30.72) 99% in, 95% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 44%
(16%) 7W: 18.25 (10.42-25.98) 99% in, 80% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 16%
(10%) 6W: 15.37 ( 8.30-22.95) 93% in, 48% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Roger Bacon (0-0) 7%
( 7%) 5W: 12.45 ( 6.39-20.08) 70% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
( 4%) 4W: 9.73 ( 4.17-14.48) 30% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
( 3%) 3W: 7.11 ( 2.76-12.11) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 2W: 4.44 ( 1.40- 7.92) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 2.17 ( 0.50- 4.19) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Taylor (0-0) 3%
Kenton Ridge (0-0) 3%
Dunbar (0-0) 3%
Meadowdale (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Taft (0-0) 12%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 11%
London (0-0) 11%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Wyoming (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 107.1, #298, D4 #40), 58% (bubble if 6-4), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 131.0