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Rankings
#80 of 101 in Division 4
#22 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #71 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #73 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #209 Miami Trace (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 33 (7%)
08/28 H #289 Zane Trace (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (10%)
09/04 H #193 Unioto (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 33 (3%)
09/11 A #433 Valley (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 15 (19%)
09/18 A #415 Portsmouth West (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 17 (14%)
09/25 H #653 Oak Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/02 A #624 Minford (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 H #67 Wheelersburg (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/16 A #454 Northwest (McDermott) (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 H #470 Worthington Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.40 ( 0.95-30.65) 49% in, 25% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 4.55 ( 0.00-26.95) 10% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.33 (15.85-26.95) 100% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 64%
( 2%) 8W: 18.35 (13.40-24.35) 99% in, 83% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 16%
( 4%) 7W: 15.35 ( 8.85-20.55) 93% in, 45% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Union Local (0-0) 8%
( 7%) 6W: 12.10 ( 7.20-18.10) 61% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 9.25 ( 4.85-14.85) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Union Local (0-0) 10%
(18%) 4W: 6.75 ( 3.25-11.70) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(21%) 3W: 4.45 ( 1.60- 9.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(20%) 2W: 2.45 ( 0.85- 6.90) out, proj. out
(12%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.40- 5.25) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 8%
Indian Creek (0-0) 7%
Union Local (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 6%
West Muskingum (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 21%
New Lexington (0-0) 18%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 7%
St Clairsville (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 108.1, #291, D4 #37), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 44% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 72.7