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Rankings
#53 of 107 in Division 6
#13 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #68 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #34 in D6 (+40 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 41-0 H #651 Paint Valley (0-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 101
08/28 W 30-24 A #543 Liberty Union (0-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 84
09/04 A #329 Piketon (2-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/11 H #533 Waverly (0-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 18 (86%)
09/18 A #122 Wheelersburg (1-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 H #593 Northwest (McDermott) (0-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 A #240 Portsmouth West (2-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/09 A #683 Oak Hill (0-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/16 H #461 Grandview Heights (2-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/23 H #616 Minford (1-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
3.62 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
71% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.32 ( 2.42- 5.92) 98% in, 64% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Covington (1-1) 12%
Lose: 3.35 ( 0.88- 5.30) 66% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Versailles (2-0) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 9W: 5.07 ( 4.76- 5.52) 100% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 35%
(13%) 8W: 4.34 ( 4.05- 4.68) 100% in, 77% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Covington (1-1) 12%
(41%) 7W: 3.62 ( 3.30- 4.09) 97% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Versailles (2-0) 13%
(28%) 6W: 2.95 ( 2.74- 3.46) 51% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Zane Trace (2-0) 17%
(11%) 5W: 2.34 ( 2.12- 2.67) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 4W: 1.76 ( 1.64- 2.12) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWLWWWWW: 5.07 ( 4.82- 5.51) 100% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 38%
( 3%) LWLWWWWW: 4.34 ( 4.06- 4.62) 100% in, 83% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Rock Hill (1-1) 11%
( 9%) WWLWLWWW: 4.33 ( 4.05- 4.68) 100% in, 74% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Covington (1-1) 13%
( 2%) WWLWLWLW: 3.65 ( 3.51- 4.09) 98% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Madison-Plains (2-0) 18%
(36%) LWLWLWWW: 3.60 ( 3.31- 3.95) 97% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Versailles (2-0) 14%
( 4%) LLLWLWWW: 2.96 ( 2.73- 3.35) 59% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Mechanicsburg (1-1) 15%
(19%) LWLWLWLW: 2.92 ( 2.73- 3.31) 49% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Zane Trace (2-0) 17%
( 6%) LLLWLWLW: 2.29 ( 2.12- 2.63) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Portsmouth West (2-0) 50%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (2-0, 90.5, #423, D6 #51), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 98.0, #382, D6 #37), 69% (bubble if 6-4), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 91.4, #433, D6 #51), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 93.8