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Rankings
#59 of 108 in Division 6
#14 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #82 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D6 (-152 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 41-0 H #668 Paint Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 93
08/28 W 30-24 A #585 Liberty Union (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 73
09/04 W 28-7 A #468 Piketon (4-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 118
09/11 L 42-25 H #412 Waverly (4-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 66
09/18 L 42-0 A #211 Wheelersburg (4-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 60
09/25 W 42-10 H #657 Northwest (McDermott) (0-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 84
10/02 L 35-13 A #251 Portsmouth West (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 84
10/09 A #687 Oak Hill (0-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/16 H #564 Grandview Heights (2-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 H #609 Minford (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 27 (96%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
9.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
5% (must have at least 7-3 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.20 ( 4.70-11.00) 5% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 39%
Based on eventual number of wins
(85%) 7W: 9.25 ( 8.20-11.00) 6% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 39%
(14%) 6W: 7.05 ( 6.25- 9.75) out, proj. out
( 1%) 5W: 5.40 ( 4.70- 7.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(85%) WWW: 9.25 ( 8.20-11.00) 6% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 39%
( 3%) WWL: 7.55 ( 6.55- 8.50) out
(10%) WLW: 7.05 ( 6.25- 8.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 85.2, #465, D6 #59), 5% (must have at least 7-3 for any chance), proj. out at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 84.5, #471, D6 #60), 5% (bubble if 8-2), no home game, proj. out at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 85.7, #456, D6 #56), 15% (likely needs 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 89.7, #432, D6 #50), 19% (likely needs 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 96.8, #389, D6 #41), 81% (bubble if 7-3), 24% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 90.5, #423, D6 #51), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 98.0, #382, D6 #37), 69% (bubble if 6-4), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 91.4, #433, D6 #51), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 93.8