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Rankings
#98 of 107 in Division 6
#23 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #72 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #97 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #662 Wellston (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 H #450 Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 32 (5%)
09/04 A #684 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 17 (83%)
09/11 A #624 Minford (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 11 (26%)
09/18 A #568 South Gallia (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/25 A #505 Waverly (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/02 A #67 Wheelersburg (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/09 H #433 Valley (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/16 H #415 Portsmouth West (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/23 A #454 Northwest (McDermott) (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
7% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.60 ( 0.45-22.85) 10% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Anna (0-0) 8%
Lose: 0.85 ( 0.00-18.50) 1% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Anna (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 14.45 (10.55-19.10) 100% in, 84% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), bye 12%
( 2%) 7W: 11.75 ( 8.05-17.20) 92% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Anna (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 6W: 9.25 ( 5.30-14.85) 54% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
( 7%) 5W: 7.20 ( 4.25-13.80) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Henry (0-0) 10%
(12%) 4W: 5.25 ( 2.55-10.90) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(18%) 3W: 3.50 ( 1.65- 8.60) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(25%) 2W: 2.20 ( 0.80- 7.30) out, proj. out
(21%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.40- 4.65) out, proj. out
(11%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Anna (0-0) 8%
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 7%
Valley (0-0) 6%
Tri-Village (0-0) 6%
Northeastern (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 18%
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 12%
Mechanicsburg (0-0) 10%
St Henry (0-0) 10%
Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 45.1, #653, D6 #98), 7% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 44.8