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Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#104 of 106 in Division 5
#26 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #95 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #105 in D5 (-978 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 26-14 A #653 Wellston (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 17 (22%), perf. rating 28
08/29 L 27-14 A #647 Fairfield Christian (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 31
09/05 L 34-8 H #472 Rock Hill (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 42
09/12 L 29-6 H #598 Minford (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 25
09/19 H #516 South Gallia (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/26 H #511 Waverly (0-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/03 H #94 Wheelersburg (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 A #376 Valley (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/17 A #477 Portsmouth West (1-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/24 H #544 Northwest (McDermott) (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.60 ( 1.90- 9.50) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.75) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 1W: 2.25 ( 0.50- 4.75) out, proj. out
(89%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLLLLL: 2.60 ( 1.90- 3.30) out
( 4%) LLLLLW: 2.30 ( 1.35- 3.25) out
( 2%) LWLLLL: 1.35 ( 0.50- 2.25) out
( 1%) LLLLWL: 1.30 ( 0.85- 2.70) out
(89%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 34.3, #676, D5 #104), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 41.0, #659, D5 #102), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 39.7, #664, D5 #103), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 46.4, #651, D5 #102), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 46.8, #654, D5 #101), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 48.2