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Rankings
#27 of 106 in Division 5
#4 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #87 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D5 (+3 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 48-13 A #436 Dayton Christian (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 143
08/28 W 20-7 H #298 Carlisle (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 11 (28%), perf. rating 127
09/04 W 48-7 A #632 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 38 (98%), perf. rating 113
09/11 L 14-13 A #331 Covington (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 20 (88%), perf. rating 106
09/18 W 33-0 H #504 Bethel (1-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 127
09/25 W 38-0 H #525 Northridge (2-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 131
10/02 W 35-0 A #628 Lehman Catholic (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 105
10/09 H #534 Milton-Union (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 A #603 Troy Christian (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 H #349 Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 15 (84%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
17.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 83% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.70 (11.55-19.50) 100% in, 99% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 83%
Lose: 16.05 (11.70-17.50) 100% in, 97% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#9), bye 50%
Based on eventual number of wins
(82%) 9W: 17.80 (16.40-19.50) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(17%) 8W: 14.00 (12.85-17.50) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), West Liberty-Salem (4-2) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(82%) WWW: 17.80 (16.40-19.50) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(16%) WWL: 14.00 (12.85-15.65) 100% in, 99% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), West Liberty-Salem (4-2) 17%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 115.6, #248, D5 #27), appears locked in and likely home, 83% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 114.2, #261, D5 #29), appears locked in and likely home, 69% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 112.9, #270, D5 #29), appears locked in and likely home, 81% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 109.2, #300, D5 #34), likely in and likely home, 74% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 115.2, #255, D5 #28), likely in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 115.2, #253, D5 #26), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 90% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 102.7, #348, D5 #42), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 98.0, #380, D5 #52), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 99.6