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Rankings
#52 of 105 in Division 5
#10 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #84 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #580 Dayton Christian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (89%)
08/28 H #259 Carlisle (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 13 (26%)
09/04 A #442 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #479 Covington (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 H #582 Bethel (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 29 (97%)
09/25 H #446 Northridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/02 A #339 Lehman Catholic (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 7 (33%)
10/09 H #494 Milton-Union (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/16 A #670 Troy Christian (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/23 H #506 Riverside (DeGraff) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 21 (92%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
71% (bubble if 5-5), 53% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.60 ( 0.45-27.70) 76% in, 58% home, 31% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 40%
Lose: 6.40 ( 0.00-22.25) 30% in, 15% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 21.75 (15.60-27.70) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(15%) 9W: 18.60 (13.20-25.15) 100% in, 99% home, 80% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 80%
(18%) 8W: 15.65 (10.50-21.95) 99% in, 93% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 34%
(16%) 7W: 12.90 ( 7.45-19.05) 97% in, 59% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 6%
(14%) 6W: 10.35 ( 5.60-16.80) 73% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 8.05 ( 4.75-14.15) 27% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 4W: 5.95 ( 2.80-12.55) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 5%) 3W: 4.15 ( 1.95- 8.75) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.00- 7.00) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.35- 4.40) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Williamsburg (0-0) 4%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 4%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 4%
Greeneview (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
Brookville (0-0) 9%
Carlisle (0-0) 8%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.9, #393, D5 #53), 59% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 99.6