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Rankings
#95 of 104 in Division 3
#23 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #45 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #103 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #344 Oakwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 27 (11%)
08/28 H #490 Greenville (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 10 (31%)
09/04 A #106 Troy (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 46 (1%)
09/11 H #93 Xenia (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 45 (1%)
09/18 A #260 Piqua (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 A #377 Fairborn (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/02 H #320 Stebbins (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 A #207 Butler (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/16 H #463 Sidney (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/23 A #34 Tippecanoe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.80 ( 0.50-27.25) 17% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Unioto (0-0) 9%
Lose: 0.60 ( 0.00-22.95) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Unioto (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 17.60 (13.85-22.40) 100% in, 75% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Goshen (0-0) 10%
( 1%) 6W: 14.05 ( 9.85-19.15) 95% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Unioto (0-0) 10%
( 2%) 5W: 10.50 ( 6.85-17.05) 58% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Miami Trace (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 4W: 7.55 ( 4.05-15.10) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Miami Trace (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 3W: 4.90 ( 2.20-11.80) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(17%) 2W: 2.85 ( 1.05- 8.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(28%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.50- 5.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(37%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Unioto (0-0) 10%
Miami Trace (0-0) 9%
Bellbrook (0-0) 8%
Goshen (0-0) 7%
Archbishop Alter (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Tippecanoe (0-0) 26%
Indian Hill (0-0) 19%
Archbishop Alter (0-0) 9%
Archbishop McNicholas (0-0) 9%
Unioto (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 122.8, #193, D3 #34), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 39% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 68.2