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Rankings
#97 of 104 in Division 2
#22 of 23 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #67 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D2 (-738 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 41-22 A #267 Oakwood (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 87
08/29 L 30-0 A #486 Greenville (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 38
09/05 L 46-0 H #105 Troy (3-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 75
09/12 L 67-6 A #122 Xenia (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 44 (1%), perf. rating 76
09/19 H #261 Piqua (1-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/26 H #287 Fairborn (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/03 A #290 Stebbins (2-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 H #228 Butler (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/17 A #494 Sidney (0-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/24 H #30 Tippecanoe (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.90 ( 1.15-10.00) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-10.00) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 2W: 3.50 ( 2.35-10.00) out, proj. out
(26%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.60- 5.90) out, proj. out
(70%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWLLWL: 3.45 ( 2.90- 5.25) out
( 1%) WLLLLL: 2.35 ( 1.15- 3.55) out
( 1%) LWLLLL: 2.30 ( 2.30- 4.75) out
(22%) LLLLWL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 2.35) out
(70%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 70.5, #557, D2 #97), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 69.8, #564, D2 #95), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 70.0, #566, D2 #96), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 72.3, #548, D2 #95), 2% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 74.3, #542, D2 #94), 5% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 73.2