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Rankings
#83 of 104 in Division 7
#22 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #85 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #86 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #613 Toledo Christian (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 15 (25%)
08/28 A #489 North Baltimore (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (4%)
09/04 H #554 Ridgemont (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 26 (7%)
09/11 A #612 Ridgedale (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 20 (12%)
09/18 H #682 Cory-Rawson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 15 (83%)
09/25 A #701 Vanlue (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/02 H #650 Perry (Lima) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/09 A #607 Waynesfield-Goshen (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 H #570 Upper Scioto Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 A #598 Elgin (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
19% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.10 ( 0.35-20.15) 44% in, 22% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 2.20 ( 0.00-18.10) 11% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 17.20 (15.15-20.15) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 95%
( 1%) 9W: 14.25 (11.40-18.10) 100% in, 99% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 51%
( 3%) 8W: 11.75 ( 9.05-15.40) 100% in, 90% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 15%
( 5%) 7W: 9.45 ( 6.95-14.00) 97% in, 48% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), New Bremen (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 6W: 7.30 ( 5.00-12.95) 71% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 5.45 ( 3.30-10.65) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Ansonia (0-0) 9%
(16%) 4W: 3.80 ( 2.15- 8.05) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), New Bremen (0-0) 10%
(19%) 3W: 2.50 ( 1.40- 8.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(20%) 2W: 1.40 ( 0.70- 5.50) out, proj. out
(12%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 3.65) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Ridgemont (0-0) 6%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Marion Local (0-0) 18%
Ansonia (0-0) 14%
Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) 13%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 9%
New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 102.7, #339, D7 #15), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 30.5