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Rankings
#99 of 107 in Division 7
#28 of 29 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #75 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #101 in D7 (-805 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 52-14 A #609 Arcadia (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 4
08/29 L 40-0 H #574 Upper Scioto Valley (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 40 (2%), perf. rating 6
09/05 L 8-0 H #667 Hardin Northern (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 14 (22%), perf. rating 25
09/12 L 64-7 A #473 North Baltimore (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 22
09/19 A #603 Elgin (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (2%)
09/26 H #573 Waynesfield-Goshen (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (2%)
10/03 A #595 Perry (Lima) (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 H #665 Ridgedale (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/17 A #526 Ridgemont (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/24 H #659 Toledo Christian (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.85 ( 1.10- 7.25) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 9.35) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 3.95 ( 2.85- 6.95) out, proj. out
( 6%) 2W: 2.15 ( 1.45- 5.05) out, proj. out
(24%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.70- 3.25) out, proj. out
(69%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) LLLWLW: 1.83 ( 1.45- 3.20) out
( 1%) WLLLLL: 1.45 ( 1.10- 2.55) out
( 9%) LLLLLW: 1.10 ( 0.75- 2.15) out
(11%) LLLWLL: 0.70 ( 0.70- 1.80) out
(69%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 21.6, #694, D7 #99), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 27.1, #686, D7 #95), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 22.1, #693, D7 #97), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 24.0, #690, D7 #95), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 33.9, #683, D7 #91), 4% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 38.9