Region 28 home page
Region 28 projections
Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 28 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#57 of 104 in Division 7
#13 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #74 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D7 (-180 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-0 H #436 Ada (2-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 13 (28%), perf. rating 42
08/28 W 36-0 H #688 Cory-Rawson (0-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 74
09/04 A #622 Cardington-Lincoln (0-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 4 (59%)
09/11 A #677 Ridgemont (0-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (95%)
09/18 A #562 Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 12 (23%)
09/25 A #480 Elgin (2-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #675 Ridgedale (0-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/09 H #578 Perry (Lima) (1-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/16 A #664 Hardin Northern (0-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 H #449 North Baltimore (2-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
2.12 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 4-6), 35% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.62 ( 0.75- 4.58) 92% in, 50% home, 8% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Fort Loramie (1-1) 13%
Lose: 1.68 ( 0.35- 4.11) 60% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 8W: 3.83 ( 3.74- 4.11) 100% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 43%
(13%) 7W: 3.20 ( 3.11- 3.58) 100% in, 98% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 14%
(21%) 6W: 2.62 ( 2.54- 3.14) 99% in, 54% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Fort Loramie (1-1) 14%
(26%) 5W: 2.12 ( 2.01- 2.44) 96% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Fort Loramie (1-1) 17%
(19%) 4W: 1.64 ( 1.56- 2.14) 56% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 18%
( 9%) 3W: 1.19 ( 1.14- 1.40) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 2W: 0.77 ( 0.74- 0.88) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWWWL: 3.83 ( 3.76- 3.94) 100% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 44%
( 6%) WWWLWWWL: 3.15 ( 3.11- 3.34) 100% in, 99% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 19%
(10%) WWLLWWWL: 2.62 ( 2.55- 2.77) 100% in, 41% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Fort Loramie (1-1) 16%
( 4%) WWWLWLWL: 2.57 ( 2.54- 2.73) 100% in, 70% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Fort Loramie (1-1) 15%
( 6%) LWLLWWWL: 2.19 ( 2.15- 2.37) 99% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 18%
(13%) WWLLWLWL: 2.04 ( 2.01- 2.27) 94% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 18%
(12%) LWLLWLWL: 1.65 ( 1.61- 1.79) 61% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 18%
( 4%) LWLLWLLL: 1.16 ( 1.16- 1.33) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Riverside (DeGraff) (1-1) 75%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 60.7, #603, D7 #57), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 58.9, #615, D7 #64), 57% (bubble if 4-6), 30% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 67.9, #570, D7 #49), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 59.1