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Rankings
#92 of 107 in Division 6
#26 of 26 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #28 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D6 (-582 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 28-7 H #526 Ridgemont (3-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 43
08/29 L 35-0 A #312 Arlington (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 37 (3%), perf. rating 58
09/05 L 32-13 H #609 Arcadia (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 28
09/12 L 51-0 A #57 Liberty-Benton (4-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 89
09/19 H #449 Van Buren (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/26 A #334 Leipsic (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/03 A #413 Ada (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/10 A #619 Elmwood (0-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/17 H #400 McComb (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/24 H #303 Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.00 ( 0.85- 6.05) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.45) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 2W: 2.35 ( 1.65- 5.55) out, proj. out
(31%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.40- 3.35) out, proj. out
(64%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWWL: 2.20 ( 1.80- 3.70) out
( 2%) WLLWLL: 2.00 ( 1.65- 3.15) out
( 1%) LLLLWL: 1.85 ( 1.05- 2.90) out
( 2%) WLLLLL: 1.60 ( 0.85- 2.30) out
(26%) LLLWLL: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.25) out
(64%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 51.1, #641, D6 #92), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 49.0, #642, D6 #90), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 56.8, #612, D6 #86), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 56.0, #618, D6 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 66.7, #573, D6 #80), 9% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 63.9