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Rankings
#60 of 107 in Division 6
#19 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #58 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #570 Upper Scioto Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 13 (72%)
08/28 A #618 Arcadia (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (88%)
09/04 H #390 Arlington (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (25%)
09/11 H #351 Van Buren (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 17 (16%)
09/18 A #650 Perry (Lima) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 H #230 Leipsic (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 A #611 Elmwood (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 H #355 McComb (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 A #641 Riverdale (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 A #228 Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 29 (3%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
33% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.05 ( 0.70-24.30) 43% in, 20% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 4.00 ( 0.00-20.10) 9% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 20.40 (17.15-24.30) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 91%
( 5%) 9W: 17.15 (13.30-21.95) 100% in, 98% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 42%
( 9%) 8W: 14.20 (10.10-19.15) 99% in, 67% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Paulding (0-0) 8%
(14%) 7W: 11.55 ( 7.80-16.40) 81% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Paulding (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 9.10 ( 5.45-15.00) 33% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
(18%) 5W: 7.00 ( 3.70-13.35) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 5.20 ( 2.20- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(10%) 3W: 3.65 ( 1.45- 8.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 2W: 2.20 ( 0.70- 6.05) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.35- 3.85) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 7%
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 18%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 12%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 83.3, #484, D6 #60), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 77.7