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Rankings
#60 of 107 in Division 6
#19 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #58 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #570 Upper Scioto Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 13 (72%)
08/28 A #618 Arcadia (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (88%)
09/04 H #390 Arlington (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (25%)
09/11 H #351 Van Buren (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 17 (16%)
09/18 A #650 Perry (Lima) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 H #230 Leipsic (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 A #611 Elmwood (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 H #355 McComb (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 A #641 Riverdale (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 A #228 Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 29 (3%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
33% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.10 ( 0.35-23.50) 43% in, 20% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 4.10 ( 0.00-20.50) 9% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 20.35 (17.30-23.50) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 91%
( 5%) 9W: 17.15 (13.65-21.40) 100% in, 98% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#11), bye 41%
(10%) 8W: 14.15 (10.35-19.00) 98% in, 66% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
(14%) 7W: 11.50 ( 7.60-17.15) 80% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
(18%) 6W: 9.10 ( 5.15-13.80) 32% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
(18%) 5W: 7.00 ( 3.70-14.00) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 5.15 ( 2.25-10.25) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(10%) 3W: 3.65 ( 1.45- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 6%) 2W: 2.20 ( 0.70- 6.40) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 3.85) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 19%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 13%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 83.4, #484, D6 #60), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 77.7