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Rankings
#21 of 104 in Division 7
#7 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #38 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #598 Elgin (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 30 (92%)
08/28 A #351 Van Buren (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 7 (36%)
09/04 A #484 Ada (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 12 (75%)
09/11 H #230 Leipsic (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 17 (16%)
09/18 A #611 Elmwood (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 H #355 McComb (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/02 H #641 Riverdale (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 A #612 Ridgedale (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 A #228 Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/23 H #618 Arcadia (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.40 ( 0.40-25.15) 83% in, 57% home, 24% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 5.75 ( 0.00-20.45) 40% in, 16% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 21.15 (17.70-25.15) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(11%) 9W: 17.80 (13.60-22.50) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 88%
(16%) 8W: 14.75 (10.85-19.55) 100% in, 99% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 37%
(18%) 7W: 12.05 ( 7.30-17.65) 99% in, 79% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Montpelier (0-0) 9%
(18%) 6W: 9.60 ( 5.85-15.15) 94% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
(14%) 5W: 7.50 ( 4.00-12.85) 64% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
( 9%) 4W: 5.55 ( 2.60-10.05) 22% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Mohawk (0-0) 13%
( 5%) 3W: 4.00 ( 1.75- 7.70) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 2W: 2.50 ( 0.70- 6.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.35- 3.30) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 7%
Montpelier (0-0) 6%
Mohawk (0-0) 6%
North Baltimore (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 14%
Leipsic (0-0) 13%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 13%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 12%
Mohawk (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 71.6, #545, D7 #44), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 99.0