Region 26 home page
Region 26 projections
Region 26 playoff probabilities
Region 26 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 26 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#12 of 107 in Division 7
#6 of 29 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #32 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D7 (+315 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 41-0 A #667 Hardin Northern (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 102
08/29 W 35-0 H #641 Riverdale (0-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 37 (97%), perf. rating 101
09/05 W 34-14 H #413 Ada (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 6 (37%), perf. rating 121
09/12 W 28-10 H #449 Van Buren (1-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 24 (92%), perf. rating 111
09/19 H #303 Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/26 A #57 Liberty-Benton (4-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (2%)
10/03 H #619 Elmwood (0-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/10 A #400 McComb (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/17 A #334 Leipsic (4-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/24 A #609 Arcadia (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
88% (likely needs 7-3), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.10 ( 8.65-21.60) 99% in, 91% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 57%
Lose: 10.90 ( 6.10-18.90) 74% in, 36% home, 12% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(27%) 9W: 16.55 (16.00-19.30) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(32%) 8W: 13.85 (12.65-16.95) 100% in, 98% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 27%
(26%) 7W: 10.90 (10.05-13.90) 95% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) 13%
(13%) 6W: 8.30 ( 7.50-12.25) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Mohawk (3-1) 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(26%) WLWWWW: 16.55 (16.00-18.45) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(12%) LLWWWW: 14.00 (13.45-15.80) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 44%
( 6%) WLWLWW: 13.95 (13.15-15.95) 100% in, 99% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 26%
(13%) WLWWLW: 13.20 (12.65-15.05) 100% in, 97% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Edgerton (4-0) 12%
( 6%) LLWLWW: 11.35 (10.55-13.90) 96% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) 15%
( 5%) WLWLLW: 10.90 (10.10-12.80) 96% in, 19% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Edon (3-1) 12%
(15%) LLWWLW: 10.80 (10.05-12.70) 95% in, 14% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) 15%
(12%) LLWLLW: 8.30 ( 7.50-10.85) 15% in, proj. out (#9-out), Mohawk (3-1) 22%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 107.7, #312, D7 #12), 88% (likely needs 7-3), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 109.4, #291, D7 #11), 91% (bubble if 6-4), 69% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 99.3, #369, D7 #21), 51% (bubble if 6-4), 25% home (likely needs 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 105.0, #321, D7 #17), 62% (bubble if 6-4), 35% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 95.2, #400, D7 #25), 48% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 92.7