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Rankings
#10 of 103 in Division 7
#3 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #14 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D7 (+304 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 48-14 H #490 Monroeville (0-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (56%), perf. rating 130
08/28 L 26-7 A #181 Leipsic (3-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 10 (31%), perf. rating 99
09/04 W 41-26 A #513 Elmwood (1-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 102
09/11 H #421 Gibsonburg (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 19 (87%)
09/18 H #618 Riverdale (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/25 A #553 Arlington (0-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/02 H #352 Pandora-Gilboa (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/09 A #438 Ada (3-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/16 H #579 Arcadia (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/23 H #294 Van Buren (3-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.14 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#3 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.50 ( 5.02-21.31) 99% in, 96% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 66%
Lose: 10.49 ( 2.59-17.49) 96% in, 62% home, 17% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(33%) 9W: 18.25 (15.85-21.31) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(31%) 8W: 15.14 (12.39-19.12) 100% home, 77% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 77%
(20%) 7W: 12.50 ( 9.74-17.40) 100% in, 99% home, 11% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Jefferson (3-0) 16%
(11%) 6W: 9.96 ( 7.15-13.42) 100% in, 65% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Mohawk (2-1) 18%
( 4%) 5W: 7.87 ( 6.03-10.78) 98% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Mohawk (2-1) 19%
( 1%) 4W: 6.19 ( 4.77- 8.49) 68% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Mohawk (2-1) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(33%) WWWWWWW: 18.25 (15.85-21.31) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 7%) WWWLWWW: 15.71 (13.66-17.69) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 83%
( 3%) WWWWLWW: 15.25 (13.31-17.29) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 83%
(18%) WWWWWWL: 14.74 (12.39-16.93) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 73%
( 9%) WWWLWWL: 12.19 ( 9.74-14.18) 100% in, 98% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Jefferson (3-0) 16%
( 4%) WWWWLWL: 12.04 ( 9.74-14.18) 100% in, 99% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Jefferson (3-0) 18%
( 5%) WWWLLWL: 9.55 ( 7.15-11.59) 100% in, 60% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Mohawk (2-1) 19%
( 2%) LWWLLWL: 7.62 ( 6.14- 8.89) 97% in, 5% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (1-2) 20%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 108.2, #302, D7 #10), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 112.7, #274, D7 #9), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 116.7, #235, D7 #7), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 66% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 101.6, #355, D7 #18), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 99.0