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Rankings
#18 of 107 in Division 7
#6 of 27 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #19 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #372 Monroeville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (56%)
08/28 A #230 Leipsic (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (21%)
09/04 A #611 Elmwood (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 32 (96%)
09/11 H #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 H #641 Riverdale (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%)
09/25 A #390 Arlington (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/02 H #228 Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/09 A #484 Ada (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/16 H #618 Arcadia (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/23 H #351 Van Buren (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 2 (55%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
10.79 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
74% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.76 ( 1.41-26.58) 90% in, 70% home, 40% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 44%
Lose: 7.21 ( 0.00-22.74) 52% in, 26% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 22.84 (18.60-26.58) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 9%) 9W: 19.51 (15.27-23.91) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(13%) 8W: 16.38 (12.39-21.54) 100% in, 99% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 72%
(15%) 7W: 13.51 ( 8.71-18.11) 100% in, 96% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 16%
(16%) 6W: 10.79 ( 6.90-15.08) 99% in, 53% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
(15%) 5W: 8.16 ( 5.23-13.26) 81% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
(13%) 4W: 5.79 ( 3.32-10.29) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), North Baltimore (0-0) 13%
( 8%) 3W: 3.73 ( 1.45- 8.22) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 4%) 2W: 2.16 ( 1.05- 5.19) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 3.58) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 101.8, #355, D7 #18), 74% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 99.0