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Rankings
#66 of 79 in Division 1
#16 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #48 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D1 (-172 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 26-9 H #183 Kenston (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 18 (20%), perf. rating 98
08/28 W 19-9 H #426 Shaker Heights (1-6) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (31%), perf. rating 104
09/04 W 24-12 A #338 Twinsburg (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 124
09/10 L 42-8 A #26 Wadsworth (7-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 114
09/18 W 24-21 A #249 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-5) D1 R1, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 122
09/25 L 38-3 H #27 Hudson (6-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 109
10/02 L 44-14 H #37 Nordonia (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 34 (1%), perf. rating 112
10/09 A #25 Highland (Medina) (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/16 H #157 North Royalton (3-4) D2 R5, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/23 A #240 Medina (1-6) D1 R1, pick: L by 6 (35%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
29% (bubble if 4-6), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.55 ( 8.60-15.45) 95% in, proj. #11 (#10-out)
Lose: 4.90 ( 4.25-10.95) 28% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 5W: 9.25 ( 9.15-13.50) 98% in, proj. #11 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 26%
(36%) 4W: 6.15 ( 5.55-10.45) 47% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 27%
(54%) 3W: 4.25 ( 4.25- 6.65) 4% in, proj. out (#12-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 29%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) LWW: 9.25 ( 9.15-10.95) 98% in, proj. #11 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 25%
(10%) LWL: 7.90 ( 7.25- 9.20) 51% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 22%
(26%) LLW: 5.55 ( 5.55- 8.00) 46% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 29%
(54%) LLL: 4.25 ( 4.25- 6.65) 4% in, proj. out (#12-out), Canton McKinley (6-1) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 112.7, #272, D1 #66), 29% (bubble if 4-6), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 113.4, #265, D1 #65), 25% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (3-2, 114.5, #259, D1 #68), 29% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 114.7, #266, D1 #67), 17% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 114.9, #258, D1 #65), 22% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 114.5, #258, D1 #66), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 108.1, #297, D1 #70), 17% (bubble if 3-7), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 110.2, #280, D1 #69), 33% (bubble if 3-7), 11% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 105.2