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Rankings
#67 of 79 in Division 1
#16 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #49 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #49 in D1 (-160 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 26-9 H #177 Kenston (4-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 18 (20%), perf. rating 99
08/28 W 19-9 H #428 Shaker Heights (1-7) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (31%), perf. rating 103
09/04 W 24-12 A #335 Twinsburg (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 124
09/10 L 42-8 A #29 Wadsworth (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 114
09/18 W 24-21 A #256 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-6) D1 R1, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 122
09/25 L 38-3 H #30 Hudson (6-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 108
10/02 L 44-14 H #39 Nordonia (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 34 (1%), perf. rating 111
10/09 L 51-7 A #27 Highland (Medina) (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 103
10/16 H #198 North Royalton (3-5) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 A #229 Medina (2-6) D1 R1, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
21% (bubble if 4-6), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.30 ( 7.25-11.05) 40% in, proj. out (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (6-2) 34%
Lose: 4.25 ( 4.25- 8.05) 14% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hudson (6-2) 43%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 5W: 9.20 ( 9.15-11.05) 99% in, proj. #11 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (6-2) 35%
(33%) 4W: 7.25 ( 6.15- 8.60) 32% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hudson (6-2) 43%
(57%) 3W: 4.25 ( 4.25- 6.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WW: 9.20 ( 9.15-11.05) 99% in, proj. #11 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (6-2) 35%
(16%) WL: 7.30 ( 7.25- 8.60) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hudson (6-2) 45%
(17%) LW: 6.15 ( 6.15- 8.05) 62% in, proj. #12 (#12-out), Hudson (6-2) 43%
(57%) LL: 4.25 ( 4.25- 6.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 112.7, #272, D1 #66), 30% (bubble if 4-6), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 113.4, #265, D1 #65), 25% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (3-2, 114.5, #259, D1 #68), 29% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 114.7, #266, D1 #67), 17% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 114.9, #258, D1 #65), 22% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 114.5, #258, D1 #66), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 108.1, #297, D1 #70), 17% (bubble if 3-7), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 110.2, #280, D1 #69), 33% (bubble if 3-7), 11% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 105.2