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Rankings
#56 of 72 in Division 1
#13 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #43 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D1 (-305 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 30-13 A #143 Kenston (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 110
08/29 L 28-7 A #93 Strongsville (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 19 (17%), perf. rating 113
09/05 W 10-7 H #284 Shaker Heights (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 114
09/12 L 35-3 A #36 Hudson (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 113
09/19 A #55 Nordonia (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/26 H #239 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/03 A #204 North Royalton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/10 H #121 Twinsburg (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/17 A #182 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/24 H #19 Wadsworth (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
4.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
25% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.75 ( 5.30-24.45) 83% in, 26% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Berea-Midpark (3-1) 19%
Lose: 4.25 ( 1.15-20.25) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Strongsville (3-1) 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 5W: 13.00 (11.75-17.80) 100% in, 25% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Berea-Midpark (3-1) 24%
(11%) 4W: 9.50 ( 7.65-16.75) 85% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Strongsville (3-1) 20%
(23%) 3W: 6.50 ( 4.65-12.15) 34% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Strongsville (3-1) 26%
(32%) 2W: 4.20 ( 2.35- 9.80) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 24%
(30%) 1W: 1.80 ( 1.15- 4.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) LWWWWL: 13.00 (11.75-14.95) 100% in, 19% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Berea-Midpark (3-1) 25%
( 5%) LWWLWL: 8.90 ( 7.65-12.00) 75% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Strongsville (3-1) 22%
( 6%) LWLLWL: 6.50 ( 5.25- 9.05) 36% in, proj. out (#10-out), Strongsville (3-1) 25%
(10%) LWWLLL: 6.00 ( 4.75- 9.10) 22% in, proj. out (#10-out), Strongsville (3-1) 26%
(18%) LWLLLL: 4.20 ( 2.95- 7.95) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 27%
( 4%) LLLLWL: 4.15 ( 2.85- 7.25) 8% in, proj. out (#11-out), Strongsville (3-1) 34%
( 6%) LLWLLL: 3.60 ( 2.35- 6.70) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 19%
(30%) LLLLLL: 1.80 ( 1.15- 4.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 38%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 115.3, #252, D1 #56), 25% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 121.1, #210, D1 #53), 62% (bubble if 2-8), 15% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 120.4, #218, D1 #55), 41% (bubble if 3-7), 11% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 123.0, #187, D1 #51), 47% (bubble if 3-7), 13% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 123.8, #186, D1 #55), 48% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 127.4