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Rankings
#85 of 100 in Division 2
#22 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #60 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #92 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #274 Bellefontaine (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 22 (16%)
08/28 H #377 Fairborn (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 11 (28%)
09/04 A #320 Stebbins (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 20 (13%)
09/11 A #207 Butler (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 30 (4%)
09/18 H #93 Xenia (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (1%)
09/25 H #34 Tippecanoe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/02 A #490 Greenville (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/09 H #106 Troy (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/16 A #563 West Carrollton (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/23 A #260 Piqua (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 26 (4%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
5% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.70 ( 0.55-32.75) 18% in, 7% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 2.25 ( 0.00-29.70) 3% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Lima Senior (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 21.00 (16.75-28.15) 100% in, 85% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 20%
( 2%) 7W: 17.30 (12.60-23.20) 91% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Lima Senior (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 6W: 13.75 ( 9.65-19.30) 45% in, 4% home, proj. out (#6-out), Lima Senior (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 5W: 10.30 ( 6.20-17.40) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Kings (0-0) 11%
(11%) 4W: 7.35 ( 3.90-15.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(16%) 3W: 4.60 ( 2.20-11.60) out, proj. out
(22%) 2W: 2.25 ( 1.10- 9.95) out, proj. out
(23%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.55- 5.90) out, proj. out
(13%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Lima Senior (0-0) 8%
Kings (0-0) 7%
Talawanda (0-0) 7%
Harrison (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 17%
Harrison (0-0) 9%
Kings (0-0) 8%
Trotwood-Madison (0-0) 8%
Xenia (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 113.1, #260, D2 #57), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 78.4