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Rankings
#31 of 100 in Division 2
#9 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #61 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #20 Pickerington North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (13%)
08/28 A #93 Xenia (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 H #563 West Carrollton (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 46 (99%)
09/11 A #260 Piqua (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 22 (90%)
09/18 H #377 Fairborn (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 32 (98%)
09/25 A #320 Stebbins (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/02 H #207 Butler (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/09 A #463 Sidney (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/16 H #34 Tippecanoe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/23 A #490 Greenville (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
18.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (bubble if 6-4), 54% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.30 ( 4.85-36.70) 97% in, 89% home, 68% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 70%
Lose: 17.95 ( 0.00-30.85) 72% in, 49% home, 21% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 32.95 (27.95-36.70) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(13%) 9W: 28.45 (23.25-33.20) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 97%
(22%) 8W: 23.20 (17.95-29.85) 100% in, 99% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 45%
(25%) 7W: 18.45 (14.65-25.45) 99% in, 60% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 14.35 (11.60-21.55) 64% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(10%) 5W: 10.50 ( 8.55-18.60) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Talawanda (0-0) 12%
( 5%) 4W: 7.45 ( 5.65-14.50) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 3%) 3W: 4.60 ( 3.35-11.75) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.75 ( 1.65- 7.00) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Talawanda (0-0) 5%
Lima Senior (0-0) 5%
Withrow (0-0) 4%
Badin (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 12%
Xenia (0-0) 10%
Harrison (0-0) 9%
Kings (0-0) 8%
Badin (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 122.0, #196, D2 #49), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 47% home (maybe if 8-2), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Last season 142.1