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Rankings
#57 of 100 in Division 2
#16 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #64 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #90 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #221 Lima Senior (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 6 (39%)
08/28 H #34 Tippecanoe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 33 (5%)
09/04 A #490 Greenville (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 26 (93%)
09/11 H #106 Troy (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 22 (10%)
09/18 H #563 West Carrollton (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 35 (99%)
09/25 A #93 Xenia (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 A #377 Fairborn (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/09 H #320 Stebbins (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 A #207 Butler (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/23 H #463 Sidney (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 26 (96%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
38% (bubble if 6-4), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.20 ( 2.30-35.30) 67% in, 42% home, 16% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 24%
Lose: 7.95 ( 0.00-30.15) 19% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Lima Senior (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 32.50 (29.00-35.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 27.30 (23.35-31.65) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
( 9%) 8W: 22.55 (17.35-29.60) 100% in, 98% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 29%
(13%) 7W: 18.35 (13.80-24.75) 99% in, 51% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 14.30 (10.40-21.90) 60% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Troy (0-0) 8%
(18%) 5W: 10.40 ( 7.35-16.85) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Lima Senior (0-0) 12%
(16%) 4W: 7.40 ( 4.55-14.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(12%) 3W: 4.55 ( 3.35-12.25) out, proj. out
( 7%) 2W: 2.30 ( 1.65- 9.15) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.55- 5.20) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Talawanda (0-0) 6%
Lima Senior (0-0) 6%
Troy (0-0) 6%
Kings (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 15%
Harrison (0-0) 10%
Xenia (0-0) 8%
Badin (0-0) 8%
Kings (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 117.5, #221, D2 #55), 71% (bubble if 6-4), 48% home (maybe if 8-2), 17% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 115.2