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Rankings
#17 of 108 in Division 6
#4 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #9 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D6 (+198 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 60-0 A #594 Spencerville (0-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 40 (97%), perf. rating 125
08/28 L 13-12 H #258 Fort Loramie (5-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 111
09/04 W 43-6 A #422 Parkway (2-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 149
09/11 L 39-0 H #67 St Henry (4-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 85
09/18 L 41-14 A #35 Marion Local (7-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 122
09/25 W 29-28 H #275 Fort Recovery (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (69%), perf. rating 112
10/02 W 14-13 H #122 Minster (6-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 135
10/09 A #76 Coldwater (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/16 H #460 St Johns (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 A #149 Versailles (4-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 13 (20%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 7-3), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.65 ( 9.20-13.85) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 36%
Lose: 7.30 ( 6.20-11.20) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 43%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 7W: 13.00 (12.60-13.85) 62% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 33%
(22%) 6W: 9.90 ( 9.65-12.35) 15% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 43%
(75%) 5W: 6.95 ( 6.90- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 4W: 6.25 ( 6.20- 7.40) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWW: 13.00 (12.60-13.85) 62% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 33%
( 3%) WWL: 10.25 ( 9.85-11.40) 12% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 42%
(18%) LWW: 9.70 ( 9.65-11.20) 16% in, proj. out (#12-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 43%
(75%) LWL: 6.95 ( 6.90- 8.50) out
( 2%) LLL: 6.25 ( 6.20- 7.40) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 119.2, #223, D6 #17), 4% (bubble if 7-3), no home game, proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 115.1, #251, D6 #20), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 117.0, #243, D6 #18), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 115.2, #263, D6 #23), 2% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 131.1, #143, D6 #9), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 126.2, #174, D6 #11), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 141.0, #89, D6 #5), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 140.0, #95, D6 #6), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Last season 140.6