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Rankings
#10 of 108 in Division 6
#3 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #9 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D6 (+281 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 60-0 A #594 Spencerville (0-8) D6 R22, pick: W by 40 (97%), perf. rating 125
08/28 L 13-12 H #259 Fort Loramie (5-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 111
09/04 W 43-6 A #433 Parkway (2-6) D6 R22, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 146
09/11 L 39-0 H #52 St Henry (5-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 92
09/18 L 41-14 A #25 Marion Local (8-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 127
09/25 W 29-28 H #255 Fort Recovery (3-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (69%), perf. rating 115
10/02 W 14-13 H #157 Minster (6-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 128
10/09 W 20-7 A #115 Coldwater (6-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (5%), perf. rating 157
10/16 H #482 St Johns (1-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/23 A #144 Versailles (5-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 6 (35%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
9.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 7-3), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.25 ( 9.90-14.10) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 33%
Lose: 9.20 ( 9.20-12.30) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(35%) 7W: 12.65 (12.65-14.10) 39% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 33%
(64%) 6W: 9.90 ( 9.90-12.30) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(35%) WW: 12.65 (12.65-14.10) 39% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 33%
(64%) WL: 9.90 ( 9.90-12.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 119.2, #223, D6 #17), 5% (bubble if 7-3), no home game, proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 115.1, #251, D6 #20), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 117.0, #243, D6 #18), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 115.2, #263, D6 #23), 2% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 131.1, #143, D6 #9), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 126.2, #174, D6 #11), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 141.0, #89, D6 #5), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 140.0, #95, D6 #6), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Last season 140.6