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Region 28 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#62 of 103 in Division 7
#15 of 25 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #14 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #80 in D7 (-496 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 40-6 A #460 St Johns (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 37
08/28 L 14-8 A #586 Southeastern Local (3-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (67%), perf. rating 55
09/04 L 49-0 H #258 Fort Loramie (5-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 33 (3%), perf. rating 50
09/11 L 21-6 A #525 Northridge (2-5) D4 R16, pick: L by 7 (34%), perf. rating 56
09/19 L 40-14 H #603 Troy Christian (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 12 (77%), perf. rating 17
09/25 L 22-0 A #534 Milton-Union (2-5) D5 R20, pick: L by 16 (15%), perf. rating 44
10/02 L 35-0 H #248 Miami East (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 61
10/10 H #504 Bethel (1-6) D3 R12, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/16 A #349 Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/23 H #331 Covington (4-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.40 ( 0.95- 7.60) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 6.65) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 1W: 1.45 ( 0.95- 3.90) 10% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(93%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WLL: 1.40 ( 0.95- 1.90) out
(93%) LLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 51.2, #628, D7 #62), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 6 (0-6, 50.7, #629, D7 #64), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 5 (0-5, 54.2, #616, D7 #58), 2% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 4 (0-4, 64.6, #578, D7 #51), 12% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 70.9, #554, D7 #45), 33% (bubble if 3-7), 10% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 74.7, #532, D7 #42), 41% (bubble if 3-7), 15% home (maybe if 5-5), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 83.7, #474, D7 #29), 67% (bubble if 3-7), 46% home (maybe if 5-5), 18% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 102.7, #339, D7 #15), 83% (bubble if 5-5), 68% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 106.3