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Rankings
#8 of 108 in Division 6
#2 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #3 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D6 (+488 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 21-18 H #152 Harvest Prep (2-5) D6 R23, pick: L by 20 (18%), perf. rating 132
08/28 W 20-10 A #180 Cinc. Hills Christian (6-1) D4 R16, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 142
09/04 L 34-21 A #67 St Henry (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 6 (63%), perf. rating 128
09/11 L 27-3 H #35 Marion Local (7-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 28 (5%), perf. rating 123
09/18 W 28-21 A #275 Fort Recovery (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 16 (84%), perf. rating 125
09/25 W 16-13 H #136 New Bremen (3-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 135
10/02 L 16-6 H #76 Coldwater (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 11 (24%), perf. rating 127
10/09 A #460 St Johns (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 A #422 Parkway (2-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 H #223 Anna (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 23% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.25 (10.65-16.70) 99% in, 23% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Huntington (5-2) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(78%) 7W: 15.55 (13.80-16.70) 100% in, 30% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Huntington (5-2) 23%
(21%) 6W: 13.30 (11.60-15.30) 97% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 32%
( 1%) 5W: 12.10 (10.65-13.65) 94% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 39%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(78%) WWW: 15.55 (13.80-16.70) 100% in, 30% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Huntington (5-2) 23%
( 1%) WLW: 14.05 (12.75-14.80) 100% in, proj. #11 (#9-#12), Madison-Plains (5-1) 32%
(19%) WWL: 13.30 (11.60-14.10) 97% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Madison-Plains (5-1) 32%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 129.8, #149, D6 #8), likely in, 23% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 130.4, #148, D6 #9), likely in, 61% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 128.8, #161, D6 #8), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 34% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 129.6, #150, D6 #7), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 129.2, #152, D6 #10), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 135.4, #119, D6 #7), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 133.1, #133, D6 #10), 69% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 124.9, #174, D6 #10), 39% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 125.8