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Rankings
#10 of 107 in Division 6
#3 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #2 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #106 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #68 Harvest Prep (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 20 (18%)
08/28 A #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 4 (42%)
09/04 A #69 St Henry (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 23 (10%)
09/11 H #32 Marion Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/18 A #238 Fort Recovery (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 7 (67%)
09/25 H #160 New Bremen (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/02 H #63 Coldwater (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 A #405 St Johns (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/16 A #537 Parkway (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 H #95 Anna (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 13 (20%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
40% (bubble if 5-5), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.75 ( 1.30-28.85) 78% in, 55% home, 29% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 37%
Lose: 6.05 ( 0.00-25.70) 32% in, 15% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.65 (20.30-28.85) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 21.45 (16.70-25.80) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 96%
( 5%) 8W: 18.02 (12.30-23.35) 100% in, 99% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 55%
( 9%) 7W: 14.90 (10.25-19.85) 99% in, 82% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
(12%) 6W: 12.05 ( 7.30-17.85) 94% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 9.20 ( 4.95-15.25) 57% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 9%
(16%) 4W: 6.60 ( 3.70-11.95) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 10%
(16%) 3W: 4.25 ( 1.60- 9.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(14%) 2W: 2.05 ( 0.80- 7.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 7%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 4.90) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 6%
Anna (0-0) 6%
Mechanicsburg (0-0) 5%
Northeastern (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 14%
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 12%
St Henry (0-0) 11%
Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
Northeastern (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 124.9, #174, D6 #10), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 125.8