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Rankings
#4 of 105 in Division 5
#2 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #2 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 16 (77%)
08/28 A #123 Clinton-Massie (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 11 (71%)
09/04 A #238 Fort Recovery (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 H #160 New Bremen (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 21 (89%)
09/18 A #163 Minster (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 18 (87%)
09/25 H #537 Parkway (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/02 A #174 Versailles (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/09 H #95 Anna (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/16 A #69 St Henry (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 H #32 Marion Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
17.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (bubble if 6-4), 57% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.30 ( 1.35-31.10) 85% in, 69% home, 42% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 49%
Lose: 10.35 ( 0.00-25.95) 39% in, 19% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(13%) 10W: 27.20 (19.35-31.10) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 98%
(18%) 9W: 23.65 (16.80-28.35) 100% in, 99% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 79%
(18%) 8W: 20.30 (14.20-25.50) 99% in, 91% home, 31% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 31%
(15%) 7W: 17.00 (11.05-22.30) 96% in, 51% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Bluffton (0-0) 7%
(11%) 6W: 14.05 ( 8.25-20.35) 70% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Bluffton (0-0) 7%
( 9%) 5W: 11.05 ( 6.70-17.55) 28% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 4W: 8.25 ( 4.20-14.25) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 5%) 3W: 5.60 ( 1.95-12.40) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.20- 8.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.40- 5.15) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 4%
Margaretta (0-0) 4%
Eastwood (0-0) 4%
Norwayne (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 11%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 34.9, #672, D5 #100), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 143.1