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Rankings
#96 of 107 in Division 3
#23 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #30 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #97 in D3 (-685 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 70-26 A #219 Johnstown (2-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 34 (6%), perf. rating 59
08/29 L 39-0 A #152 Clear Fork (3-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 45 (1%), perf. rating 76
09/05 L 52-20 H #278 Newark (2-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 62
09/12 L 48-14 H #179 Garaway (3-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 74
09/19 H #454 Northridge (1-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 15 (17%)
09/26 A #297 Mount Vernon (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/03 A #99 Licking Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/10 H #233 Watkins Memorial (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/17 A #165 Granville (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/24 H #397 Licking Heights (0-4) D2 R7, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.71 ( 0.85-10.63) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 8.42) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 2W: 3.27 ( 2.31- 7.67) out, proj. out
(22%) 1W: 1.71 ( 0.60- 5.30) out, proj. out
(73%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLLLLW: 2.82 ( 2.31- 4.38) out
( 1%) LWLLLL: 2.37 ( 1.76- 3.48) out
( 1%) LLLWLL: 2.27 ( 1.16- 3.98) out
(14%) WLLLLL: 1.71 ( 0.85- 3.18) out
( 5%) LLLLLW: 1.11 ( 0.60- 3.43) out
(73%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 68.5, #569, D3 #96), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 68.6, #576, D3 #97), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 71.1, #562, D3 #98), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 65.6, #584, D3 #100), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 69.7, #558, D3 #95), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 68.3