Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter for the latest updates.

Fantastic 50 logo

Notes from Drew

(Sun., Dec. 6) Congratulations to all the state champions, particuarly Bishop Hartley and Kirtland, both of
which I had as double-digit underdogs in the state championship games. The final overall #1 team is the same one
topped the Fantastic 50 rankings all year, St. Edward.

My pre-playoff predictions were correct on 19 eventual regional champs and 3 state champs.

(Thurs., Dec. 3) Thanks to a reader for letting me know about an issue with tracking my picks from prior weeks.
This is came about because I forgot to tag all week 12, 13, and 14 scores as neutral-site games. That change had just
enough effect on team ratings to flip my picks for three games (including Wayne-Colerain last week) from one team being
favored by a fraction of a point, to the other. Because all the site pages are auto-generated, the rest is not fixable.
The picks page shows me one game better last week than I actually was, and one game worse during week 13. This issue also
shows up on the relevant handful of teams' pages. Hopefully, this bug won't pop up again in the future. Enjoy the state finals!
(Sun., Nov. 29) Updates prior to the state championship games have been posted.

(Mon., Nov. 2) Here are my state championship predictions:
D1: Lakewood St. Edward over Huber Heights Wayne
D2: Cincinnati LaSalle over Hudson
D3: Cleveland Benedictine over Columbus DeSales
D4: Steubenville over Franklin Bishop Fenwick
D5: Coldwater over Canton Central Catholic
D6: Maria Stein Marion Local over Bucyrus Wynford
D7: McComb over Minster

Team pages and the weekly picks page are now updated.

(Sun., Nov. 1) The end-of-regular-season update is complete.
The regional projection (r01proj.html, etc.) and probability (r01pct.html)
pages now have projected playoff results and regional title probabilities.
Congrats to the eight teams that will make their first-ever playoff appearances!

Thanks to Joe Eitel, Bruce Monnin, members of the media, coaches, student-athletes, and fans!
Enjoy the playoffs!

Links to divisions, regions, and teams

R1Division 1R2
R3R4Division 2R5R6
R7R8Division 3R9R10
R11R12Division 4R13R14
R15R16Division 5R17R18
R19R20Division 6R21R22
R23R24Division 7R25R26

More interesting stuff

Fantastic 50 rankings
Weekly game predictions
Games of the Week
Best team performances
Most improved teams
Biggest upsets
Playoff streaks & droughts
Playoff quirks (out at 9-1, in at 4-6, etc.)

Useful links

Joe Eitel - unofficial Harbin playoff points, schedules, and scores
Bruce Monnin - unofficial Harbin points for selected regions
OHSAA Football - official info from the state association