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Rankings
#95 of 107 in Division 6
#22 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #98 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #92 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #689 East Clinton (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 25 (87%)
08/28 A #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 4 (42%)
09/04 H #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 A #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/18 H #564 Summit Country Day (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 A #697 Fayetteville (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/02 H #453 Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/17 A #444 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/23 H #685 New Miami (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
4-5 record
5.87 Harbin points (divisor 88)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
19% (bubble if 5-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-2), 2% bye (maybe if 8-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.53 ( 0.50-24.33) 22% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 9%
Lose: 2.21 ( 0.00-18.28) 3% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Northeastern (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 20.36 (14.05-24.33) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 92%
( 2%) 8W: 17.24 (10.82-22.82) 100% in, 94% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 45%
( 4%) 7W: 13.73 ( 7.53-21.06) 98% in, 64% home, 9% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 9%
( 8%) 6W: 10.73 ( 5.78-16.98) 77% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Anna (0-0) 8%
(15%) 5W: 8.12 ( 4.37-14.10) 34% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 9%
(23%) 4W: 5.87 ( 2.40-11.83) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 12%
(26%) 3W: 3.78 ( 1.79- 8.49) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(16%) 2W: 2.25 ( 0.83- 7.65) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 0.84 ( 0.39- 5.22) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 7%
Anna (0-0) 7%
Zane Trace (0-0) 7%
Northeastern (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 12%
St Henry (0-0) 10%
Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
Northeastern (0-0) 9%
Anna (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 48.1, #644, D6 #95), 19% (bubble if 5-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-2), 2% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. out at 4-5
Last season 48.7